Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Miami
Philadelphia
|
82
B-
|
Overall |
90
A-
|
|
80
B-
|
Power |
84
B
|
|
80
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
76
C
6099
|
|
Miami
6099
Philadelphia
6099
|
||
|
84
B
6099
|
Defensive |
86
B
6099
|
|
Miami
6099
Philadelphia
6099
|
||
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
84
B
|
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
84
B
|
Miami
Philadelphia
| 14 | Overall | 8 |
| 15 | Power | 12 |
| 15 | Offensive | 18 |
| 12 | Defensive | 11 |
| 8 | SoS (Current) | 12 |
| 8 | SoS (Full Season) | 12 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Philadelphia 53%, Miami 47% at Philadelphia.
Philadelphia's win probability against Miami has held at 48% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Philadelphia's win probability against Miami has held at 50% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Philadelphia's win probability against Miami has held at 53% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Miami | Neutral | At Philadelphia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 34% | 36% | 39% |
| Wk 4 | 33% | 36% | 38% |
| Wk 5 | 31% | 34% | 36% |
| Wk 6 | 35% | 38% | 40% |
| Wk 7 | 40% | 43% | 45% |
| Wk 8 | 45% | 48% | 50% |
| Wk 9 | 44% | 47% | 49% |
| Wk 10 | 45% | 48% | 50% |
| Wk 11 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 12 | 44% | 46% | 49% |
| Wk 13 | 45% | 48% | 50% |
| Wk 14 | 47% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 15 | 46% | 49% | 51% |
| Wk 16 | 43% | 45% | 48% |
| Wk 17 | 44% | 46% | 49% |
| Wk 18 | 46% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 19 | 46% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 20 | 48% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 21 | 47% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 22 | 48% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 23 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 24 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 25 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 26 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 27 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 28 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 29 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 30 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 31 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 32 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
Miami
Philadelphia
|
5-8 (38.5%) |
Head to Head |
8-5 (61.5%) |
|
80-82 (49.4%) |
Overall |
89-76 (53.9%) |
|
47-34 (58%) |
Home |
43-38 (53.1%) |
|
33-48 (40.7%) |
Away |
46-38 (54.8%) |
|
13-21 (38.2%) |
Versus Top 5 |
11-23 (32.4%) |
|
33-47 (41.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
31-38 (44.9%) |
|
47-35 (57.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
58-38 (60.4%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
Miami
Philadelphia
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 12 runs vs #4 Atlanta | Largest MOV | 12 runs vs #22 NY Mets |
| 12 runs vs #11 Pittsburgh | Largest MOD | 14 runs vs #26 Kansas City |
Miami
Philadelphia
| 4.4 | Runs per Game | 4.4 |
| 4.4 | Runs Against | 4.3 |
| 4.5 | Home RPG | 4.8 |
| 4 | Home RA | 4.6 |
| 4.4 | Away RPG | 4 |
| 4.8 | Away RA | 4 |
| 13517-13190 | Opponent Record | 13648-13487 |
| 14.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 14.7 |
| L 12 | Longest Streak | L 10 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Miami
Philadelphia
| Sep 27 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W5-3 | Oct 1 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L2-6 |
| Sep 26 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L3-8 | Sep 30 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W4-3 |
| Sep 25 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W3-0 | Sep 29 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L3-5 |
| Sep 24 | at Chi Cubs (89-75) | L1-2 | Sep 27 | vs #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | W7-3 |
| Sep 23 | at Chi Cubs (89-75) | W3-2 | Sep 26 | vs #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | L1-12 |
| Sep 22 | at Chi Cubs (89-75) | W8-2 | Sep 25 | vs #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | L0-2 |
| Sep 20 | at San Diego (94-74) | L3-7 | Sep 24 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L1-5 |
| Sep 19 | at San Diego (94-74) | L6-7 | Sep 23 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L1-4 |
| Sep 18 | at San Diego (94-74) | L2-8 | Sep 22 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | W6-4 |
| Sep 16 | at Arizona (86-76) | W4-3 | Sep 20 | at NY Mets (74-88) | W7-2 |