Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Miami
San Diego
|
82
B-
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
80
B-
|
Power |
91
A-
|
|
80
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
86
B
6099
|
|
Miami
6099
San Diego
6099
|
||
|
84
B
6099
|
Defensive |
90
A-
6099
|
|
Miami
6099
San Diego
6099
|
||
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
80
B-
|
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
80
B-
|
Miami
San Diego
| 14 | Overall | 6 |
| 15 | Power | 7 |
| 15 | Offensive | 11 |
| 12 | Defensive | 8 |
| 8 | SoS (Current) | 15 |
| 8 | SoS (Full Season) | 15 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Miami 50%, San Diego 50% at Miami.
Miami's win probability against San Diego has held at 45% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Miami's win probability against San Diego has held at 48% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Miami's win probability against San Diego has held at 50% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At San Diego | Neutral | At Miami |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 4 | 43% | 46% | 48% |
| Wk 5 | 47% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 6 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 7 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 8 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 9 | 46% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 10 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 11 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 12 | 53% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 13 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 14 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 15 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 16 | 54% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 17 | 54% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 18 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 19 | 48% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 20 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 21 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 22 | 47% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 23 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 24 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 25 | 46% | 49% | 51% |
| Wk 26 | 46% | 48% | 51% |
| Wk 27 | 46% | 49% | 51% |
| Wk 28 | 45% | 48% | 50% |
| Wk 29 | 45% | 48% | 50% |
| Wk 30 | 45% | 48% | 50% |
| Wk 31 | 45% | 48% | 50% |
| Wk 32 | 45% | 48% | 50% |
Miami
San Diego
|
0-6 (0%) |
Head to Head |
6-0 (100%) |
|
80-82 (49.4%) |
Overall |
94-74 (56%) |
|
47-34 (58%) |
Home |
54-31 (63.5%) |
|
33-48 (40.7%) |
Away |
40-43 (48.2%) |
|
13-21 (38.2%) |
Versus Top 5 |
16-20 (44.4%) |
|
33-47 (41.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
34-44 (43.6%) |
|
47-35 (57.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
60-30 (66.7%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
Miami
San Diego
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 12 runs vs #4 Atlanta | Largest MOV | 17 runs vs #26 Kansas City |
| 12 runs vs #11 Pittsburgh | Largest MOD | 20 runs vs #7 Chi Cubs |
Miami
San Diego
| 4.4 | Runs per Game | 4.4 |
| 4.4 | Runs Against | 4.1 |
| 4.5 | Home RPG | 4.3 |
| 4 | Home RA | 3.7 |
| 4.4 | Away RPG | 4.6 |
| 4.8 | Away RA | 4.6 |
| 13517-13190 | Opponent Record | 13843-13807 |
| 14.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 15.2 |
| L 12 | Longest Streak | W 8 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Miami
San Diego
| Sep 27 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W5-3 | Oct 7 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L1-3 |
| Sep 26 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L3-8 | Oct 6 | vs #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | W4-3 |
| Sep 25 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W3-0 | Oct 4 | at #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L3-4 |
| Sep 24 | at Chi Cubs (89-75) | L1-2 | Oct 3 | at #1 Milwaukee (114-61) | L2-3 |
| Sep 23 | at Chi Cubs (89-75) | W3-2 | Sep 30 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | W4-1 |
| Sep 22 | at Chi Cubs (89-75) | W8-2 | Sep 29 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | W8-0 |
| Sep 20 | at San Diego (94-74) | L3-7 | Sep 27 | vs Arizona (86-76) | W9-4 |
| Sep 19 | at San Diego (94-74) | L6-7 | Sep 26 | vs Arizona (86-76) | W10-7 |
| Sep 18 | at San Diego (94-74) | L2-8 | Sep 25 | vs Arizona (86-76) | L4-11 |
| Sep 16 | at Arizona (86-76) | W4-3 | Sep 24 | at #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | W4-2 |