Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Houston
Cincinnati
|
72
C-
|
Overall |
73
C-
|
|
71
C-
|
Power |
63
D-
|
|
73
C-
6099
|
Offensive |
67
D+
6099
|
|
Houston
6099
Cincinnati
6099
|
||
|
68
D+
6099
|
Defensive |
63
D-
6099
|
|
Houston
6099
Cincinnati
6099
|
||
|
60
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
99
A+
|
|
60
D-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
99
A+
|
Houston
Cincinnati
| 21 | Overall | 20 |
| 22 | Power | 28 |
| 20 | Offensive | 25 |
| 24 | Defensive | 28 |
| 30 | SoS (Current) | 1 |
| 30 | SoS (Full Season) | 1 |
Wk 32 (Oct 31), 2026: Houston 51%, Cincinnati 49% at Cincinnati.
Houston's win probability against Cincinnati has held at 51% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Houston's win probability against Cincinnati has held at 53% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Houston's win probability against Cincinnati has held at 56% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Cincinnati | Neutral | At Houston |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 58% | 61% | 64% |
| Wk 4 | 42% | 44% | 47% |
| Wk 5 | 39% | 41% | 44% |
| Wk 6 | 42% | 45% | 47% |
| Wk 7 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 8 | 43% | 46% | 49% |
| Wk 9 | 43% | 46% | 49% |
| Wk 10 | 47% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 11 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 12 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 13 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 14 | 47% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 15 | 47% | 50% | 52% |
| Wk 16 | 46% | 49% | 52% |
| Wk 17 | 46% | 49% | 51% |
| Wk 18 | 48% | 50% | 53% |
| Wk 19 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 20 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 21 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 22 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 23 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 24 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 25 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 26 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 27 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 28 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 29 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 30 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 31 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 32 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
Houston
Cincinnati
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
81-83 (49.4%) |
Overall |
75-87 (46.3%) |
|
39-44 (47%) |
Home |
38-43 (46.9%) |
|
42-39 (51.9%) |
Away |
37-44 (45.7%) |
|
7-14 (33.3%) |
Versus Top 5 |
12-20 (37.5%) |
|
29-28 (50.9%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
36-52 (40.9%) |
|
52-55 (48.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
39-35 (52.7%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
Houston
Cincinnati
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 11 runs vs #28 Athletics | Largest MOV | 14 runs vs #18 Washington |
| 15 runs vs #29 LA Angels | Largest MOD | 20 runs vs #1 Milwaukee |
Houston
Cincinnati
| 4.5 | Runs per Game | 4.1 |
| 4.8 | Runs Against | 5.1 |
| 4.2 | Home RPG | 4 |
| 4.7 | Home RA | 4.7 |
| 4.8 | Away RPG | 4.2 |
| 4.8 | Away RA | 5.5 |
| 13036-13892 | Opponent Record | 13724-13017 |
| 17.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 13.4 |
| L 8 | Longest Streak | L 8 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Houston
Cincinnati
| Sep 30 | vs Chi White Sox (88-81) | L3-7 | Sep 27 | at Toronto (79-83) | L1-5 |
| Sep 29 | vs Chi White Sox (88-81) | L3-6 | Sep 26 | at Toronto (79-83) | W5-1 |
| Sep 27 | at Athletics (64-98) | W9-0 | Sep 25 | at Toronto (79-83) | L5-6 |
| Sep 26 | at Athletics (64-98) | W13-2 | Sep 24 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W7-6 |
| Sep 25 | at Athletics (64-98) | L5-6 | Sep 23 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L2-3 |
| Sep 24 | at Athletics (64-98) | W7-5 | Sep 22 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W4-0 |
| Sep 23 | at Seattle (76-86) | L5-6 | Sep 20 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | L1-9 |
| Sep 22 | at Seattle (76-86) | W7-0 | Sep 19 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | L2-5 |
| Sep 20 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L2-4 | Sep 18 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | W6-4 |
| Sep 19 | vs #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L3-6 | Sep 17 | vs #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L2-8 |