Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Colorado
Cincinnati
|
60
D-
|
Overall |
73
C-
|
|
61
D-
|
Power |
63
D-
|
|
79
C+
6099
|
Offensive |
67
D+
6099
|
|
Colorado
6099
Cincinnati
6099
|
||
|
61
D-
6099
|
Defensive |
63
D-
6099
|
|
Colorado
6099
Cincinnati
6099
|
||
|
96
A
|
SoS (Current) |
99
A+
|
|
96
A
|
SoS (Full Season) |
99
A+
|
Colorado
Cincinnati
| 30 | Overall | 20 |
| 29 | Power | 28 |
| 16 | Offensive | 25 |
| 29 | Defensive | 28 |
| 3 | SoS (Current) | 1 |
| 3 | SoS (Full Season) | 1 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Cincinnati 55%, Colorado 45% at Cincinnati.
Cincinnati's win probability against Colorado has held at 49% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Cincinnati's win probability against Colorado has held at 52% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Cincinnati's win probability against Colorado has held at 55% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Colorado | Neutral | At Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 39% | 41% | 44% |
| Wk 4 | 55% | 58% | 60% |
| Wk 5 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 6 | 48% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 7 | 45% | 47% | 50% |
| Wk 8 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 9 | 50% | 53% | 55% |
| Wk 10 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 11 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 12 | 51% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 13 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 14 | 51% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 15 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 16 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 17 | 51% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 18 | 50% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 19 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 20 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 21 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 22 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 23 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 24 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 25 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 26 | 49% | 51% | 54% |
| Wk 27 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 28 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 29 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 30 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 31 | 49% | 52% | 54% |
| Wk 32 | 49% | 52% | 55% |
Colorado
Cincinnati
|
2-4 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
4-2 (66.7%) |
|
58-104 (35.8%) |
Overall |
75-87 (46.3%) |
|
32-49 (39.5%) |
Home |
38-43 (46.9%) |
|
26-55 (32.1%) |
Away |
37-44 (45.7%) |
|
4-27 (12.9%) |
Versus Top 5 |
12-20 (37.5%) |
|
21-63 (25%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
36-52 (40.9%) |
|
37-41 (47.4%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
39-35 (52.7%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
4-6 (40%) |
Colorado
Cincinnati
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #29 LA Angels | Worst Loss | #30 Colorado |
| 14 runs vs #28 Athletics | Largest MOV | 14 runs vs #18 Washington |
| 13 runs vs #27 San Francisco | Largest MOD | 20 runs vs #1 Milwaukee |
Colorado
Cincinnati
| 4.6 | Runs per Game | 4.1 |
| 5.8 | Runs Against | 5.1 |
| 5 | Home RPG | 4 |
| 6.2 | Home RA | 4.7 |
| 4.3 | Away RPG | 4.2 |
| 5.4 | Away RA | 5.5 |
| 13675-13024 | Opponent Record | 13724-13017 |
| 13.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 13.4 |
| L 8 | Longest Streak | L 8 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Colorado
Cincinnati
| Sep 27 | at Chi White Sox (88-81) | L2-4 | Sep 27 | at Toronto (79-83) | L1-5 |
| Sep 26 | at Chi White Sox (88-81) | W9-6 | Sep 26 | at Toronto (79-83) | W5-1 |
| Sep 25 | at Chi White Sox (88-81) | L1-6 | Sep 25 | at Toronto (79-83) | L5-6 |
| Sep 24 | vs Arizona (86-76) | L8-12 | Sep 24 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W7-6 |
| Sep 23 | vs Arizona (86-76) | L3-5 | Sep 23 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L2-3 |
| Sep 22 | vs Arizona (86-76) | L2-7 | Sep 22 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W4-0 |
| Sep 20 | vs Seattle (76-86) | L1-2 | Sep 20 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | L1-9 |
| Sep 19 | vs Seattle (76-86) | W5-3 | Sep 19 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | L2-5 |
| Sep 18 | vs Seattle (76-86) | L4-5 | Sep 18 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | W6-4 |
| Sep 17 | vs San Diego (94-74) | L2-9 | Sep 17 | vs #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L2-8 |