Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Cincinnati
Cleveland
|
73
C-
|
Overall |
84
B
|
|
63
D-
|
Power |
79
C+
|
|
67
D+
6099
|
Offensive |
71
C-
6099
|
|
Cincinnati
6099
Cleveland
6099
|
||
|
63
D-
6099
|
Defensive |
88
B+
6099
|
|
Cincinnati
6099
Cleveland
6099
|
||
|
99
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
67
D+
|
|
99
A+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
67
D+
|
Cincinnati
Cleveland
| 20 | Overall | 12 |
| 28 | Power | 16 |
| 25 | Offensive | 22 |
| 28 | Defensive | 9 |
| 1 | SoS (Current) | 25 |
| 1 | SoS (Full Season) | 25 |
Wk 32 (Oct 30), 2026: Cleveland 54%, Cincinnati 46% at Cincinnati.
Cleveland's win probability against Cincinnati has held at 54% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Cleveland's win probability against Cincinnati has held at 56% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Cleveland's win probability against Cincinnati has held at 59% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Cincinnati | Neutral | At Cleveland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | 68% | 71% | 73% |
| Wk 4 | 55% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 5 | 48% | 51% | 53% |
| Wk 6 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 7 | 58% | 60% | 63% |
| Wk 8 | 54% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 9 | 57% | 60% | 62% |
| Wk 10 | 55% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 11 | 56% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 12 | 56% | 58% | 61% |
| Wk 13 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 14 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 15 | 52% | 55% | 57% |
| Wk 16 | 51% | 54% | 56% |
| Wk 17 | 51% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 18 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 19 | 51% | 53% | 56% |
| Wk 20 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 21 | 50% | 52% | 55% |
| Wk 22 | 52% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 23 | 52% | 55% | 58% |
| Wk 24 | 52% | 54% | 57% |
| Wk 25 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 26 | 53% | 56% | 58% |
| Wk 27 | 54% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 28 | 54% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 29 | 54% | 57% | 59% |
| Wk 30 | 54% | 57% | 60% |
| Wk 31 | 54% | 56% | 59% |
| Wk 32 | 54% | 56% | 59% |
Cincinnati
Cleveland
|
2-4 (33.3%) |
Head to Head |
4-2 (66.7%) |
|
75-87 (46.3%) |
Overall |
90-83 (52%) |
|
38-43 (46.9%) |
Home |
43-44 (49.4%) |
|
37-44 (45.7%) |
Away |
47-39 (54.7%) |
|
12-20 (37.5%) |
Versus Top 5 |
9-18 (33.3%) |
|
36-52 (40.9%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
28-38 (42.4%) |
|
39-35 (52.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
62-45 (57.9%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
Cincinnati
Cleveland
| #1 Milwaukee | Best Win | #1 Milwaukee |
| #30 Colorado | Worst Loss | #28 Athletics |
| 14 runs vs #18 Washington | Largest MOV | 10 runs vs #26 Kansas City |
| 20 runs vs #1 Milwaukee | Largest MOD | 12 runs vs #4 Atlanta |
Cincinnati
Cleveland
| 4.1 | Runs per Game | 4.2 |
| 5.1 | Runs Against | 4.1 |
| 4 | Home RPG | 4 |
| 4.7 | Home RA | 4.2 |
| 4.2 | Away RPG | 4.3 |
| 5.5 | Away RA | 3.9 |
| 13724-13017 | Opponent Record | 14120-14358 |
| 13.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 16.8 |
| L 8 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 3 |
Cincinnati
Cleveland
| Sep 27 | at Toronto (79-83) | L1-5 | Oct 19 | at #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | L3-7 |
| Sep 26 | at Toronto (79-83) | W5-1 | Oct 18 | vs #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | L1-3 |
| Sep 25 | at Toronto (79-83) | L5-6 | Oct 17 | vs #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | L3-7 |
| Sep 24 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W7-6 | Oct 15 | vs #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | W3-2 |
| Sep 23 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | L2-3 | Oct 13 | at #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | L1-3 |
| Sep 22 | at #4 Atlanta (97-72) | W4-0 | Oct 12 | at #3 Tampa Bay (106-70) | W7-3 |
| Sep 20 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | L1-9 | Oct 10 | vs Chi White Sox (88-81) | W2-0 |
| Sep 19 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | L2-5 | Oct 8 | at Chi White Sox (88-81) | W9-5 |
| Sep 18 | vs Chi Cubs (89-75) | W6-4 | Oct 7 | at Chi White Sox (88-81) | W9-3 |
| Sep 17 | vs #2 LA Dodgers (103-67) | L2-8 | Oct 5 | vs Chi White Sox (88-81) | L3-4 |