Prediction Updated: Sunday June 29, 2025
| SIMULATION RESULTS | ||
|---|---|---|
|
Featherweight
Aljamain Sterling 36 |
WIN PROBABILITY Percent chance each fighter has to win |
Bantamweight
Merab Dvalishvili 64 |
| RATINGS Fighter ratings and rankings are relative to respective weight classes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A- | 91 | Performance | 99 | A+ |
| B+ | 89 | Power | 99 | A+ |
|
B
|
86
|
Offensive |
99
|
A+
|
|
A-
|
91
|
Defensive |
93
|
A-
|
| RANKINGS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Performance | 1 |
| 24 | Power | 1 |
| 30 | Offensive | 1 |
| 20 | Defensive | 13 |
| RECORDS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 16-5 (76.2%) | Overall | 13-2 (86.7%) |
| 1-2 (33.3%) | Versus Current Top 10 | 3-0 (100%) |
| 13-4 (76.5%) | Versus > .500 Fighters | 9-2 (81.8%) |
| 3-1 (75%) | Versus < .500 Fighters | 4-0 (100%) |
| 3-2 (60%) | Last 5 Fights | 5-0 (100%) |
| SUPERLATIVES | ||
|---|---|---|
| Bantamweight #9 Cory Sandhagen (11-4) 2020-06-06 UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer Round 1 SUB Rear Naked Choke | Best Win | Bantamweight #4 Umar Nurmagomedov (6-1) 2025-01-18 UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano Round 5 U-DEC |
| Bantamweight #8 Sean O'Malley (10-3) 2023-08-19 UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley Round 2 KO/TKO Punches | Worst Loss | Bantamweight #23 Ricky Simon (9-5) 2018-04-21 UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee Round 3 SUB Guillotine Choke |
| OTHER STATISTICS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 6 (28.6%) | Finishes | 2 (13.3%) |
| 2 (9.5%) | KOs | 1 (6.7%) |
| 4 (19%) | Submissions | 1 (6.7%) |
| 9 (42.9%) | Decisions | 11 (73.3%) |
| 159-101 | Opponent Record | 106-69 |
| 33.6 | Average Opponent Rank | 29.6 |
| W 9 | Long Streak | W 13 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 13 |
| LAST 5 FIGHTS | ||
|---|---|---|
| L 2024-12-07 Featherweight #2 Movsar Evloev (9-0) Round 3 U-DEC UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura |
W 2025-06-07 Bantamweight #8 Sean O'Malley (10-3) Round 3 SUB Guillotine Choke UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 |
|
| W 2024-04-13 Featherweight #70 Calvin Kattar (7-7) Round 3 U-DEC UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill |
W 2025-01-18 Bantamweight #4 Umar Nurmagomedov (6-1) Round 5 U-DEC UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano |
|
| L 2023-08-19 Bantamweight #8 Sean O'Malley (10-3) Round 2 KO/TKO Punches UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley |
W 2024-09-14 Bantamweight #8 Sean O'Malley (10-3) Round 5 U-DEC UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC |
|
| W 2023-05-06 Bantamweight #48 Henry Cejudo (10-5) Round 5 S-DEC UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo |
W 2024-02-17 Bantamweight #48 Henry Cejudo (10-5) Round 3 U-DEC UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria |
|
| W 2022-10-22 Bantamweight TJ Dillashaw (13-5) Round 2 KO/TKO Punches UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev |
W 2023-03-11 Bantamweight #11 Petr Yan (10-4) Round 5 U-DEC UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |