Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Florida 62%, Illinois 38% at Florida.
Florida's win probability against Illinois has swung between 43% and 49% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 49% now.
Florida's win probability against Illinois has swung between 50% and 56% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 56% now.
Florida's win probability against Illinois has swung between 56% and 62% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 62% now.