St Thomas MN at Valparaiso Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
St Thomas MN by 6.65
TOTAL POINTS
55
UPDATED
Sunday, November 15, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Valparaiso
St Thomas MN 
|
70
C-
|
Overall |
87
B+
|
|
65
D
|
Power |
74
C
|
|
63
D-
|
Offensive |
80
B-
|
|
67
D+
|
Defensive |
67
D+
|
|
62
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
66
D
|
|
63
D-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
64
D
|
|
66
D
|
SoR (Current) |
82
B-
|
|
65
D
|
SoR (Full Season) |
83
B-
|
RANKINGS
Valparaiso
St Thomas MN
| 97 #405 overall |
Overall | 41 #216 overall |
| 112 #303 overall |
Power | 83 #237 overall |
| 117 #325 overall |
Offensive | 63 #213 overall |
| 105 #278 overall |
Defensive | 104 #274 overall |
| 121 #368 overall |
SoS (Current) | 109 #313 overall |
| 118 #338 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 114 #321 overall |
St Thomas MN#4165%
Valparaiso#9735%Wk 12 (Nov 15), 2026-27: St Thomas MN 65%, Valparaiso 35% at Valparaiso.
St Thomas MN's win probability against Valparaiso is trending up — from 42% to 65% over the last 6 weeks.
St Thomas MN's win probability against Valparaiso is trending up — from 48% to 71% over the last 6 weeks.
St Thomas MN's win probability against Valparaiso is trending up — from 55% to 76% over the last 6 weeks.
St Thomas MN favored
Valparaiso favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Valparaiso | Neutral | At St Thomas MN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 87% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 1 | 77% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 2 | 79% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 3 | 78% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 4 | 73% | 78% | 82% |
| Wk 5 | 75% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 6 | 42% | 48% | 55% |
| Wk 7 | 50% | 56% | 62% |
| Wk 8 | 69% | 74% | 79% |
| Wk 9 | 68% | 74% | 78% |
| Wk 10 | 65% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 11 | 61% | 66% | 72% |
| Wk 12 | 65% | 71% | 76% |
RECORDS
Valparaiso
St Thomas MN
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Overall |
8-3 (72.7%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Home |
7-0 (100%) |
|
2-4 (33.3%) |
Away |
1-3 (25%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
5-2 (71.4%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
7-1 (87.5%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Valparaiso
St Thomas MN
| #463 Drake | Best Win | #196 Southern Utah |
| #415 Indiana St | Worst Loss | #467 Presbyterian |
| 46 pts vs #533 Lawrence Tech | Largest MOV | 43 pts vs #618 Stetson |
| 25 pts vs #284 San Diego | Largest MOD | 36 pts vs #129 North Dakota |
OTHER STATISTICS
Valparaiso
St Thomas MN
| 27 | Points per Game | 36.3 |
| 23.5 | Points Against | 27.3 |
| 33 | Home PPG | 43.3 |
| 16.5 | Home PA | 18.4 |
| 23 | Away PPG | 24 |
| 28.2 | Away PA | 42.8 |
| 43-64 | Opponent Record | 50-69 |
| 402.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 368.9 |
| L 3 | Longest Streak | W 3 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Valparaiso
St Thomas MN
| Nov 14 | at Stetson (1-10) | W34-31 | Nov 14 | vs Drake (3-8) | W55-35 |
| Nov 7 | at Dayton (9-1) | L20-31 | Nov 7 | at Butler (9-2) | L14-41 |
| Oct 24 | vs Presbyterian (4-6) | W24-7 | Oct 31 | vs Davidson (4-7) | W35-7 |
| Oct 17 | at San Diego (5-5) | L13-38 | Oct 24 | at Marist (5-6) | W35-13 |
| Oct 10 | vs Drake (3-8) | W21-13 | Oct 10 | vs Stetson (1-10) | W64-21 |
| Oct 3 | at Morehead St (3-8) | W37-3 | Oct 3 | at Presbyterian (4-6) | L21-55 |
| Sep 26 | vs Butler (9-2) | L28-33 | Sep 26 | vs San Diego (5-5) | W50-17 |
| Sep 19 | at Indiana St (2-9) | L16-39 | Sep 19 | vs Southern Utah (5-6) | W28-26 |
| Sep 12 | at Murray St (2-9) | L18-27 | Sep 12 | vs Northern Michigan (2-9) | W56-14 |
| Aug 29 | vs Lawrence Tech (5-6) | W59-13 | Sep 5 | at North Dakota (7-4) | L26-62 |