St Thomas MN at Valparaiso Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
St Thomas MN by 8.09
TOTAL POINTS
54
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Valparaiso
St Thomas MN 
|
70
C-
|
Overall |
88
B+
|
|
66
D
|
Power |
78
C+
|
|
64
D
|
Offensive |
83
B-
|
|
68
D+
|
Defensive |
70
C-
|
|
63
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
67
D+
|
|
64
D
|
SoS (Full Season) |
67
D+
|
|
66
D
|
SoR (Current) |
84
B
|
|
68
D+
|
SoR (Full Season) |
82
B-
|
RANKINGS
Valparaiso
St Thomas MN
| 95 #402 overall |
Overall | 37 #199 overall |
| 110 #283 overall |
Power | 70 #217 overall |
| 116 #316 overall |
Offensive | 53 #199 overall |
| 101 #261 overall |
Defensive | 94 #251 overall |
| 118 #368 overall |
SoS (Current) | 104 #292 overall |
| 114 #336 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 106 #304 overall |
St Thomas MN#3768%
Valparaiso#9532%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: St Thomas MN 68%, Valparaiso 32% at Valparaiso.
St Thomas MN's win probability against Valparaiso has swung between 42% and 78% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 68% now.
St Thomas MN's win probability against Valparaiso has swung between 48% and 82% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 74% now.
St Thomas MN's win probability against Valparaiso has swung between 55% and 86% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 78% now.
St Thomas MN favored
Valparaiso favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Valparaiso | Neutral | At St Thomas MN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 87% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 1 | 77% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 2 | 79% | 83% | 87% |
| Wk 3 | 78% | 82% | 86% |
| Wk 4 | 73% | 78% | 82% |
| Wk 5 | 75% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 6 | 42% | 48% | 55% |
| Wk 7 | 50% | 56% | 62% |
| Wk 8 | 69% | 74% | 79% |
| Wk 9 | 68% | 74% | 78% |
RECORDS
Valparaiso
St Thomas MN
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
4-4 (50%) |
Overall |
6-2 (75%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Home |
5-0 (100%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Away |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
3-3 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
5-0 (100%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Valparaiso
St Thomas MN
| #394 Presbyterian | Best Win | #234 Southern Utah |
| #404 Murray St | Worst Loss | #394 Presbyterian |
| 46 pts vs #589 Lawrence Tech | Largest MOV | 43 pts vs #597 Stetson |
| 25 pts vs #328 San Diego | Largest MOD | 36 pts vs #125 North Dakota |
OTHER STATISTICS
Valparaiso
St Thomas MN
| 27 | Points per Game | 36.9 |
| 21.6 | Points Against | 27.1 |
| 33 | Home PPG | 42.6 |
| 16.5 | Home PA | 17.4 |
| 21 | Away PPG | 27.3 |
| 26.8 | Away PA | 43.3 |
| 23-41 | Opponent Record | 25-40 |
| 401.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 351.8 |
| L 3 | Longest Streak | W 3 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Valparaiso
St Thomas MN
| Oct 24 | vs Presbyterian (4-4) | W24-7 | Oct 24 | at Marist (4-4) | W35-13 |
| Oct 17 | at San Diego (3-5) | L13-38 | Oct 10 | vs Stetson (1-7) | W64-21 |
| Oct 10 | vs Drake (2-6) | W21-13 | Oct 3 | at Presbyterian (4-4) | L21-55 |
| Oct 3 | at Morehead St (2-6) | W37-3 | Sep 26 | vs San Diego (3-5) | W50-17 |
| Sep 26 | vs Butler (6-2) | L28-33 | Sep 19 | vs Southern Utah (3-5) | W28-26 |
| Sep 19 | at Indiana St (2-6) | L16-39 | Sep 12 | vs Northern Michigan (1-7) | W56-14 |
| Sep 12 | at Murray St (1-7) | L18-27 | Sep 5 | at North Dakota (6-3) | L26-62 |
| Aug 29 | vs Lawrence Tech (3-5) | W59-13 | Aug 27 | vs Winona St (3-5) | W15-9 |