Drake at Valparaiso Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Valparaiso by 9.3
TOTAL POINTS
57
UPDATED
Sunday, October 4, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Valparaiso
Drake 
|
65
D
|
Overall |
85
B
|
|
74
C
|
Power |
66
D
|
|
73
C-
|
Offensive |
71
C-
|
|
75
C
|
Defensive |
65
D
|
|
62
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
87
B+
|
|
66
D
|
SoS (Future) |
76
C
|
RANKINGS
Valparaiso
Drake
| 112 #508 overall |
Overall | 48 #279 overall |
| 83 #307 overall |
Power | 110 #387 overall |
| 87 #322 overall |
Offensive | 91 #329 overall |
| 79 #295 overall |
Defensive | 112 #436 overall |
| 123 #454 overall |
SoS (Current) | 39 #178 overall |
| 110 #330 overall |
SoS (Future) | 76 #230 overall |
Valparaiso#11271%
Drake#4829%Wk 6 (Oct 4), 2026-27: Valparaiso 71%, Drake 29% at Valparaiso.
Valparaiso's win probability against Drake is trending up — from 7% to 59% over the last 6 updates.
Valparaiso's win probability against Drake is trending up — from 9% to 65% over the last 6 updates.
Valparaiso's win probability against Drake is trending up — from 12% to 71% over the last 6 updates.
Valparaiso favored
Drake favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Drake | Neutral | At Valparaiso |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 4% | 5% | 6% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 4% | 5% | 6% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 7% | 9% | 12% |
| Wk 1 | 2026-27 | 16% | 20% | 25% |
| Wk 2 | 2026-27 | 14% | 18% | 22% |
| Wk 3 | 2026-27 | 33% | 39% | 45% |
| Wk 4 | 2026-27 | 57% | 63% | 69% |
| Wk 5 | 2026-27 | 54% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 6 | 2026-27 | 59% | 65% | 71% |
RECORDS
Valparaiso
Drake
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Overall |
2-3 (40%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Home |
1-1 (50%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Away |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-3 (25%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
2-3 (40%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Valparaiso
Drake
| #566 Lawrence Tech | Best Win | #299 Dayton |
| #485 Murray St | Worst Loss | #240 South Dakota Tech |
| 46 pts vs #566 Lawrence Tech | Largest MOV | 19 pts vs #517 Davidson |
| 23 pts vs #339 Indiana St | Largest MOD | 42 pts vs #183 Northern Iowa |
OTHER STATISTICS
Valparaiso
Drake
| 31.6 | Points per Game | 28 |
| 23 | Points Against | 38.6 |
| 43.5 | Home PPG | 32.5 |
| 23 | Home PA | 30 |
| 23.7 | Away PPG | 25 |
| 23 | Away PA | 44.3 |
| 11-16 | Opponent Record | 17-9 |
| 436.8 | Avg Opponent Rank | 262.4 |
| L 3 | Longest Streak | L 3 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Valparaiso
Drake
| Oct 3 | at Morehead St (1-4) | W37-3 | Oct 3 | vs Dayton (3-1) | W30-22 |
| Sep 26 | vs Butler (4-1) | L28-33 | Sep 26 | at Davidson (2-4) | W51-32 |
| Sep 19 | at Indiana St (2-4) | L16-39 | Sep 12 | at Northern Iowa (2-2) | L14-56 |
| Sep 12 | at Murray St (1-5) | L18-27 | Sep 5 | at Montana (5-1) | L10-45 |
| Aug 29 | vs Lawrence Tech (3-2) | W59-13 | Aug 27 | vs South Dakota Tech (5-1) | L35-38 |