Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: UC-Davis 98%, Stetson 2% at UC-Davis.
UC-Davis' win probability against Stetson has swung between 91% and 98% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 98% now.
UC-Davis' win probability against Stetson has swung between 93% and 99% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 98% now.
UC-Davis' win probability against Stetson has held at 98% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.