Southern Miss at Troy Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Troy by 2.36
TOTAL POINTS
54
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Troy
Southern Miss 
|
63
D-
|
Overall |
64
D
|
|
65
D
|
Power |
65
D
|
|
66
D
|
Offensive |
68
D+
|
|
66
D
|
Defensive |
63
D-
|
|
62
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
69
D+
|
|
68
D+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
70
C-
|
|
67
D+
|
SoR (Current) |
64
D
|
|
65
D
|
SoR (Full Season) |
64
D
|
RANKINGS
Troy
Southern Miss
| 126 #254 overall |
Overall | 125 #253 overall |
| 120 #127 overall |
Power | 119 #126 overall |
| 116 #127 overall |
Offensive | 110 #119 overall |
| 118 #125 overall |
Defensive | 127 #136 overall |
| 132 #161 overall |
SoS (Current) | 105 #111 overall |
| 111 #113 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 103 #103 overall |
Troy#12656%
Southern Miss#12544%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Troy 56%, Southern Miss 44% at Troy.
Troy's win probability against Southern Miss has swung between 43% and 69% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 43% now.
Troy's win probability against Southern Miss has swung between 49% and 74% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 49% now.
Troy's win probability against Southern Miss has swung between 56% and 79% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 56% now.
Troy favored
Southern Miss favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Southern Miss | Neutral | At Troy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 67% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 1 | 62% | 68% | 73% |
| Wk 2 | 52% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 3 | 47% | 53% | 59% |
| Wk 4 | 63% | 69% | 74% |
| Wk 5 | 47% | 54% | 60% |
| Wk 6 | 59% | 65% | 71% |
| Wk 7 | 69% | 74% | 79% |
| Wk 8 | 56% | 62% | 67% |
| Wk 9 | 43% | 49% | 56% |
RECORDS
Troy
Southern Miss
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
3-4 (42.9%) |
Overall |
2-5 (28.6%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Home |
2-2 (50%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
0-3 (0%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-3 (40%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
0-2 (0%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
1-4 (20%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Troy
Southern Miss
| #253 Southern Miss | Best Win | #108 Louisiana-Lafayette |
| #272 Louisiana-Monroe | Worst Loss | #254 Troy |
| 21 pts vs #253 Southern Miss | Largest MOV | 46 pts vs #400 Alcorn St |
| 27 pts vs #108 Louisiana-Lafayette | Largest MOD | 35 pts vs #30 Auburn |
OTHER STATISTICS
Troy
Southern Miss
| 22.9 | Points per Game | 25.7 |
| 24.9 | Points Against | 32.4 |
| 31.8 | Home PPG | 29.3 |
| 23.3 | Home PA | 26.3 |
| 11 | Away PPG | 21 |
| 27 | Away PA | 40.7 |
| 20-30 | Opponent Record | 27-25 |
| 228.6 | Avg Opponent Rank | 173.7 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | L 5 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Troy
Southern Miss
| Oct 24 | vs Louisiana-Monroe (1-6) | L14-21 | Oct 24 | vs Louisiana-Lafayette (5-3) | W35-31 |
| Oct 17 | at Louisiana-Lafayette (5-3) | L6-33 | Oct 17 | vs Arkansas St (4-4) | L13-23 |
| Oct 6 | vs Southern Miss (2-5) | W55-34 | Oct 6 | at Troy (3-4) | L34-55 |
| Sep 26 | at Utah St (2-5) | L10-21 | Sep 26 | at Tulane (3-4) | L21-24 |
| Sep 19 | at Missouri (5-2) | L17-27 | Sep 19 | vs Connecticut (4-3) | L20-48 |
| Sep 12 | vs Alabama St (4-3) | W34-17 | Sep 12 | at Auburn (4-3) | L8-43 |
| Sep 5 | vs Sam Houston St (1-6) | W24-21 | Sep 5 | vs Alcorn St (4-4) | W49-3 |