Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Toledo 61%, Western Michigan 39% at Toledo.
Toledo's win probability against Western Michigan has swung between 41% and 69% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 49% now.
Toledo's win probability against Western Michigan has swung between 47% and 74% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 55% now.
Toledo's win probability against Western Michigan has swung between 53% and 79% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 61% now.