San Diego St at Toledo Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Toledo by 10.54
TOTAL POINTS
61
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
San Diego St
Toledo 
|
75
C
|
Overall |
83
B-
|
|
71
C-
|
Power |
78
C+
|
|
74
C
|
Offensive |
80
B-
|
|
67
D+
|
Defensive |
74
C
|
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
73
C-
|
|
80
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
67
D+
|
|
71
C-
|
SoR (Current) |
79
C+
|
|
71
C-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
78
C+
|
RANKINGS
San Diego St
Toledo
| 86 #107 overall |
Overall | 57 #61 overall |
| 101 #104 overall |
Power | 75 #75 overall |
| 90 #93 overall |
Offensive | 66 #66 overall |
| 112 #118 overall |
Defensive | 88 #89 overall |
| 27 #27 overall |
SoS (Current) | 92 #93 overall |
| 69 #69 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 115 #118 overall |
Toledo#5773%
San Diego St#8627%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Toledo 73%, San Diego St 27% at Toledo.
Toledo's win probability against San Diego St has swung between 54% and 73% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 62% now.
Toledo's win probability against San Diego St has swung between 60% and 78% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 68% now.
Toledo's win probability against San Diego St has swung between 66% and 82% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 73% now.
Toledo favored
San Diego St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At San Diego St | Neutral | At Toledo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 49% | 55% | 61% |
| Wk 1 | 48% | 54% | 60% |
| Wk 2 | 44% | 50% | 57% |
| Wk 3 | 54% | 60% | 66% |
| Wk 4 | 63% | 68% | 74% |
| Wk 5 | 73% | 78% | 82% |
| Wk 6 | 65% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 7 | 62% | 68% | 73% |
| Wk 8 | 55% | 61% | 67% |
| Wk 9 | 62% | 68% | 73% |
RECORDS
San Diego St
Toledo
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-5 (37.5%) |
Overall |
6-2 (75%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Home |
4-1 (80%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
2-4 (33.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
4-1 (80%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
San Diego St
Toledo
| #49 Texas St-San Marcos | Best Win | #67 Western Michigan |
| #86 Colorado St | Worst Loss | #114 Buffalo |
| 33 pts vs #270 Portland St | Largest MOV | 53 pts vs #232 Central Conn St |
| 52 pts vs #39 Oregon St | Largest MOD | 15 pts vs #114 Buffalo |
OTHER STATISTICS
San Diego St
Toledo
| 26.5 | Points per Game | 37.4 |
| 36.1 | Points Against | 25.4 |
| 30.8 | Home PPG | 41.2 |
| 24.5 | Home PA | 27 |
| 22.3 | Away PPG | 31 |
| 47.8 | Away PA | 22.7 |
| 38-21 | Opponent Record | 28-35 |
| 84.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 148.3 |
| L 3 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
San Diego St
Toledo
| Oct 24 | at Colorado St (3-4) | L49-56 | Oct 24 | vs Western Michigan (5-3) | W45-38 |
| Oct 17 | vs Fresno St (4-3) | W26-23 | Oct 17 | at Eastern Michigan (4-5) | W34-14 |
| Oct 10 | at Oregon St (5-2) | L14-66 | Oct 10 | vs Buffalo (5-3) | L8-23 |
| Oct 3 | vs Texas St-San Marcos (4-3) | W31-29 | Oct 3 | at Ball St (3-5) | W39-24 |
| Sep 26 | at Toledo (6-2) | L16-41 | Sep 26 | vs San Diego St (3-5) | W41-16 |
| Sep 19 | vs James Madison (7-1) | L13-26 | Sep 19 | vs Temple (2-5) | W49-48 |
| Sep 12 | at #2 UCLA (7-0) | L10-28 | Sep 12 | vs Central Conn St (4-3) | W63-10 |
| Sep 5 | vs Portland St (2-6) | W53-20 | Sep 4 | at Michigan St (2-6) | L20-30 |