Buffalo at Toledo Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Toledo by 18.04
TOTAL POINTS
56
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Buffalo
Toledo 
|
74
C
|
Overall |
83
B-
|
|
65
D
|
Power |
78
C+
|
|
65
D
|
Offensive |
80
B-
|
|
65
D
|
Defensive |
74
C
|
|
68
D+
|
SoS (Current) |
73
C-
|
|
65
D
|
SoS (Full Season) |
67
D+
|
|
72
C-
|
SoR (Current) |
79
C+
|
|
70
C-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
78
C+
|
RANKINGS
Buffalo
Toledo
| 90 #114 overall |
Overall | 57 #61 overall |
| 121 #128 overall |
Power | 75 #75 overall |
| 119 #133 overall |
Offensive | 66 #66 overall |
| 122 #129 overall |
Defensive | 88 #89 overall |
| 111 #120 overall |
SoS (Current) | 92 #93 overall |
| 120 #127 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 115 #118 overall |
Toledo#5785%
Buffalo#9015%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Toledo 85%, Buffalo 15% at Toledo.
Toledo's win probability against Buffalo has swung between 76% and 97% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 77% now.
Toledo's win probability against Buffalo has swung between 80% and 97% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 82% now.
Toledo's win probability against Buffalo has swung between 84% and 98% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 85% now.
Toledo favored
Buffalo favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Buffalo | Neutral | At Toledo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 77% | 82% | 85% |
| Wk 1 | 71% | 76% | 80% |
| Wk 2 | 78% | 82% | 86% |
| Wk 3 | 84% | 88% | 90% |
| Wk 4 | 90% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 5 | 97% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 6 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 7 | 76% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 8 | 76% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 9 | 77% | 82% | 85% |
RECORDS
Buffalo
Toledo
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
5-3 (62.5%) |
Overall |
6-2 (75%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Home |
4-1 (80%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
4-1 (80%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Buffalo
Toledo
| #61 Toledo | Best Win | #67 Western Michigan |
| #167 Florida Int'l | Worst Loss | #114 Buffalo |
| 15 pts vs #61 Toledo | Largest MOV | 53 pts vs #232 Central Conn St |
| 42 pts vs #89 Penn State | Largest MOD | 15 pts vs #114 Buffalo |
OTHER STATISTICS
Buffalo
Toledo
| 22.6 | Points per Game | 37.4 |
| 25.4 | Points Against | 25.4 |
| 25 | Home PPG | 41.2 |
| 21.4 | Home PA | 27 |
| 18.7 | Away PPG | 31 |
| 32 | Away PA | 22.7 |
| 32-30 | Opponent Record | 28-35 |
| 183.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 148.3 |
| W 3 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| W 3 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Buffalo
Toledo
| Oct 24 | vs Bowling Green (2-6) | W31-24 | Oct 24 | vs Western Michigan (5-3) | W45-38 |
| Oct 17 | vs Massachusetts (4-4) | W25-18 | Oct 17 | at Eastern Michigan (4-5) | W34-14 |
| Oct 10 | at Toledo (6-2) | W23-8 | Oct 10 | vs Buffalo (5-3) | L8-23 |
| Oct 3 | vs Western Michigan (5-3) | L17-20 | Oct 3 | at Ball St (3-5) | W39-24 |
| Sep 26 | vs Robert Morris (4-4) | W31-28 | Sep 26 | vs San Diego St (3-5) | W41-16 |
| Sep 19 | at Penn State (3-4) | L13-55 | Sep 19 | vs Temple (2-5) | W49-48 |
| Sep 12 | at Florida Int'l (3-4) | L20-33 | Sep 12 | vs Central Conn St (4-3) | W63-10 |
| Sep 3 | vs Albany NY (5-3) | W21-17 | Sep 4 | at Michigan St (2-6) | L20-30 |