Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: SMU 64%, Syracuse 36% at Syracuse.
SMU's win probability against Syracuse has swung between 40% and 72% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 64% now.
SMU's win probability against Syracuse has swung between 46% and 77% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 69% now.
SMU's win probability against Syracuse has swung between 53% and 81% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 74% now.