Albany NY at Stony Brook Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Stony Brook by 0.81
TOTAL POINTS
53
UPDATED
Sunday, October 11, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Albany NY
Stony Brook 
|
82
B-
|
Overall |
84
B
|
|
82
B-
|
Power |
80
B-
|
|
77
C+
|
Offensive |
84
B
|
|
88
B+
|
Defensive |
76
C
|
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
66
D
|
|
80
B-
|
SoS (Future) |
69
D+
|
RANKINGS
Albany NY
Stony Brook
| 57 #265 overall |
Overall | 50 #252 overall |
| 55 #313 overall |
Power | 62 #337 overall |
| 72 #387 overall |
Offensive | 50 #281 overall |
| 37 #255 overall |
Defensive | 77 #393 overall |
| 56 #203 overall |
SoS (Current) | 108 #311 overall |
| 62 #210 overall |
SoS (Future) | 100 #281 overall |
Stony Brook#5052%
Albany NY#5748%Wk 7 (Oct 11), 2026-27: Stony Brook 52%, Albany NY 48% at Stony Brook.
Stony Brook's win probability against Albany NY has swung between 25% and 53% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 40% now.
Stony Brook's win probability against Albany NY has swung between 30% and 59% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 46% now.
Stony Brook's win probability against Albany NY has swung between 36% and 65% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 52% now.
Stony Brook favored
Albany NY favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Albany NY | Neutral | At Stony Brook |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 73% | 78% | 82% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 57% | 63% | 69% |
| Wk 1 | 2026-27 | 46% | 52% | 58% |
| Wk 2 | 2026-27 | 42% | 49% | 55% |
| Wk 3 | 2026-27 | 25% | 30% | 36% |
| Wk 4 | 2026-27 | 42% | 49% | 55% |
| Wk 5 | 2026-27 | 53% | 59% | 65% |
| Wk 6 | 2026-27 | 42% | 49% | 55% |
| Wk 7 | 2026-27 | 40% | 46% | 52% |
RECORDS
Albany NY
Stony Brook
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
3-3 (50%) |
Overall |
4-2 (66.7%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Home |
2-0 (100%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Away |
2-2 (50%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-1 (50%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-1 (75%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Albany NY
Stony Brook
| #309 Delaware St | Best Win | #282 Fordham |
| #170 Monmouth NJ | Worst Loss | #309 Delaware St |
| 25 pts vs #309 Delaware St | Largest MOV | 32 pts vs #326 Rhode Island |
| 22 pts vs #163 Princeton | Largest MOD | 24 pts vs #219 Ball St |
OTHER STATISTICS
Albany NY
Stony Brook
| 21.3 | Points per Game | 34.2 |
| 16.8 | Points Against | 29.7 |
| 25.3 | Home PPG | 46 |
| 15 | Home PA | 28 |
| 17.3 | Away PPG | 28.3 |
| 18.7 | Away PA | 30.5 |
| 18-19 | Opponent Record | 11-27 |
| 275.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 365.7 |
| L 2 | Longest Streak | W 3 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 3 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Albany NY
Stony Brook
| Oct 3 | vs Delaware St (4-3) | W28-3 | Oct 10 | at Towson (0-7) | W31-24 |
| Sep 26 | at Princeton (3-1) | L0-22 | Sep 26 | at Fordham (2-5) | W31-16 |
| Sep 19 | vs Monmouth NJ (4-2) | L20-28 | Sep 19 | vs Rhode Island (3-3) | W56-24 |
| Sep 12 | at LIU (2-5) | W35-13 | Sep 12 | at Ball St (1-5) | L17-41 |
| Sep 3 | at Buffalo (3-3) | L17-21 | Sep 3 | vs Lindenwood (1-4) | W36-32 |
| Aug 28 | vs New Hampshire (2-5) | W28-14 | Aug 27 | at Delaware St (4-3) | L34-41 |