Arkansas St at Southern Miss Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Arkansas St by 5.55
TOTAL POINTS
57
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Southern Miss
Arkansas St 
|
64
D
|
Overall |
69
D+
|
|
65
D
|
Power |
73
C-
|
|
68
D+
|
Offensive |
73
C-
|
|
63
D-
|
Defensive |
71
C-
|
|
69
D+
|
SoS (Current) |
63
D-
|
|
70
C-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
62
D-
|
|
64
D
|
SoR (Current) |
70
C-
|
|
64
D
|
SoR (Full Season) |
70
C-
|
RANKINGS
Southern Miss
Arkansas St
| 125 #253 overall |
Overall | 108 #166 overall |
| 119 #126 overall |
Power | 94 #96 overall |
| 110 #119 overall |
Offensive | 92 #95 overall |
| 127 #136 overall |
Defensive | 99 #101 overall |
| 105 #111 overall |
SoS (Current) | 127 #146 overall |
| 103 #103 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 130 #145 overall |
Arkansas St#10863%
Southern Miss#12537%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Arkansas St 63%, Southern Miss 37% at Southern Miss.
Arkansas St's win probability against Southern Miss is trending up — from 49% to 63% over the last 6 weeks.
Arkansas St's win probability against Southern Miss is trending up — from 55% to 69% over the last 6 weeks.
Arkansas St's win probability against Southern Miss is trending up — from 61% to 74% over the last 6 weeks.
Arkansas St favored
Southern Miss favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Southern Miss | Neutral | At Arkansas St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 50% | 56% | 62% |
| Wk 1 | 49% | 55% | 61% |
| Wk 2 | 40% | 47% | 53% |
| Wk 3 | 49% | 55% | 61% |
| Wk 4 | 52% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 5 | 58% | 64% | 70% |
| Wk 6 | 65% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 7 | 71% | 76% | 80% |
| Wk 8 | 70% | 75% | 79% |
| Wk 9 | 63% | 69% | 74% |
RECORDS
Southern Miss
Arkansas St
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-5 (28.6%) |
Overall |
4-4 (50%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Home |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
1-3 (25%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-3 (25%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-1 (75%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Southern Miss
Arkansas St
| #108 Louisiana-Lafayette | Best Win | #177 Georgia St |
| #254 Troy | Worst Loss | #108 Louisiana-Lafayette |
| 46 pts vs #400 Alcorn St | Largest MOV | 45 pts vs #506 West Georgia |
| 35 pts vs #30 Auburn | Largest MOD | 24 pts vs #92 TCU |
OTHER STATISTICS
Southern Miss
Arkansas St
| 25.7 | Points per Game | 28.8 |
| 32.4 | Points Against | 27.3 |
| 29.3 | Home PPG | 39 |
| 26.3 | Home PA | 27.3 |
| 21 | Away PPG | 18.5 |
| 40.7 | Away PA | 27.3 |
| 27-25 | Opponent Record | 26-33 |
| 173.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 210.4 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | L 2 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Southern Miss
Arkansas St
| Oct 24 | vs Louisiana-Lafayette (5-3) | W35-31 | Oct 24 | vs Georgia St (4-3) | W38-32 |
| Oct 17 | vs Arkansas St (4-4) | L13-23 | Oct 17 | at Southern Miss (2-5) | W23-13 |
| Oct 6 | at Troy (3-4) | L34-55 | Oct 8 | vs South Alabama (4-3) | L49-56 |
| Sep 26 | at Tulane (3-4) | L21-24 | Oct 3 | at Louisiana-Lafayette (5-3) | L20-23 |
| Sep 19 | vs Connecticut (4-3) | L20-48 | Sep 26 | vs Kennesaw St (1-6) | W17-14 |
| Sep 12 | at Auburn (4-3) | L8-43 | Sep 19 | at TCU (3-4) | L7-31 |
| Sep 5 | vs Alcorn St (4-4) | W49-3 | Sep 12 | vs West Georgia (1-7) | W52-7 |