Alcorn St at Southern Miss Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Southern Miss by 35.32
TOTAL POINTS
68
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
*Ratings are relative to Division (FBS, FCS, D2, D3, NAIA)
Alcorn St
Southern Miss 
|
70
C-
|
Overall |
64
D
|
|
66
D
|
Power |
65
D
|
|
82
B-
|
Offensive |
68
D+
|
|
63
D-
|
Defensive |
63
D-
|
|
64
D
|
SoS (Current) |
69
D+
|
|
63
D-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
70
C-
|
|
72
C-
|
SoR (Current) |
64
D
|
|
69
D+
|
SoR (Full Season) |
64
D
|
RANKINGS
Alcorn StFCS
Southern MissFBS
| 94 #400 overall |
Overall | 125 #253 overall |
| 108 #274 overall |
Power | 119 #126 overall |
| 57 #204 overall |
Offensive | 110 #119 overall |
| 118 #352 overall |
Defensive | 127 #136 overall |
| 114 #346 overall |
SoS (Current) | 105 #111 overall |
| 118 #348 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 103 #103 overall |
Southern MissFBS #12597%
Alcorn StFCS #943%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Southern Miss 97%, Alcorn St 3% at Southern Miss.
Southern Miss' win probability against Alcorn St has swung between 89% and 95% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 95% now.
Southern Miss' win probability against Alcorn St has swung between 92% and 97% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 97% now.
Southern Miss' win probability against Alcorn St has held at 97% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Southern Miss favored
Alcorn St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Alcorn St | Neutral | At Southern Miss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 94% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 1 | 84% | 87% | 90% |
| Wk 2 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 3 | 94% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 4 | 91% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 5 | 91% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 6 | 89% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 7 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 8 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 9 | 95% | 97% | 97% |
RECORDS
Alcorn St
Southern Miss
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
4-4 (50%) |
Overall |
2-5 (28.6%) |
|
3-0 (100%) |
Home |
2-2 (50%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Away |
0-3 (0%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Own Division Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-2 (33.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-3 (40%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
0-2 (0%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Last 5 Games |
1-4 (20%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Alcorn St
Southern Miss
| #333 Arkansas-Pine Bluff | Best Win | #108 Louisiana-Lafayette |
| #298 Prairie View A&M | Worst Loss | #254 Troy |
| 56 pts vs #678 Arkansas Baptist | Largest MOV | 46 pts vs #400 Alcorn St |
| 46 pts vs #253 Southern Miss | Largest MOD | 35 pts vs #30 Auburn |
OTHER STATISTICS
Alcorn St
Southern Miss
| 41.9 | Points per Game | 25.7 |
| 37 | Points Against | 32.4 |
| 54 | Home PPG | 29.3 |
| 18 | Home PA | 26.3 |
| 30 | Away PPG | 21 |
| 47.8 | Away PA | 40.7 |
| 25-37 | Opponent Record | 27-25 |
| 388 | Avg Opponent Rank | 173.7 |
| W 1 | Longest Streak | L 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Alcorn St
Southern Miss
| Oct 17 | at Prairie View A&M (4-5) | L38-41 | Oct 24 | vs Louisiana-Lafayette (5-3) | W35-31 |
| Oct 10 | vs Arkansas Baptist (2-7) | W63-7 | Oct 17 | vs Arkansas St (4-4) | L13-23 |
| Oct 3 | at Grambling St (4-3) | L59-63 | Oct 6 | at Troy (3-4) | L34-55 |
| Sep 26 | vs Texas Southern (2-5) | W43-40 | Sep 26 | at Tulane (3-4) | L21-24 |
| Sep 19 | at North Alabama (4-4) | L20-38 | Sep 19 | vs Connecticut (4-3) | L20-48 |
| Sep 12 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff (4-3) | W53-51 | Sep 12 | at Auburn (4-3) | L8-43 |
| Sep 5 | at Southern Miss (2-5) | L3-49 | Sep 5 | vs Alcorn St (4-4) | W49-3 |
| Aug 29 | vs Miles (3-5) | W56-7 |