Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: South Dakota St 80%, Southern Illinois 20% at Southern Illinois.
South Dakota St's win probability against Southern Illinois has swung between 75% and 87% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 80% now.
South Dakota St's win probability against Southern Illinois has swung between 79% and 90% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 84% now.
South Dakota St's win probability against Southern Illinois has swung between 84% and 92% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 87% now.