Assumption at Southern Conn St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Assumption by 12.04
TOTAL POINTS
56
UPDATED
Sunday, October 11, 2026
See this week's D2 predictions
RATINGS
Southern Conn St
Assumption 
|
77
C+
|
Overall |
84
B
|
|
73
C-
|
Power |
87
B+
|
|
72
C-
|
Offensive |
89
B+
|
|
73
C-
|
Defensive |
85
B
|
|
60
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
76
C
|
|
61
D-
|
SoS (Future) |
67
D+
|
RANKINGS
Southern Conn St
Assumption
| 90 #474 overall |
Overall | 63 #386 overall |
| 110 #549 overall |
Power | 51 #358 overall |
| 113 #552 overall |
Offensive | 42 #327 overall |
| 108 #545 overall |
Defensive | 59 #387 overall |
| 162 #734 overall |
SoS (Current) | 94 #474 overall |
| 159 #692 overall |
SoS (Future) | 133 #622 overall |
Assumption#6376%Southern Conn St#9024%Wk 7 (Oct 11), 2026-27: Assumption 76%, Southern Conn St 24% at Southern Conn St.
Assumption's win probability against Southern Conn St has swung between 67% and 86% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 76% now.
Assumption's win probability against Southern Conn St has swung between 73% and 89% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 80% now.
Assumption's win probability against Southern Conn St has swung between 77% and 92% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 84% now.
Assumption favored
Southern Conn St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Southern Conn St | Neutral | At Assumption |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 90% | 92% | 94% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 82% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 1 | 2026-27 | 76% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 2 | 2026-27 | 83% | 87% | 90% |
| Wk 3 | 2026-27 | 86% | 89% | 92% |
| Wk 4 | 2026-27 | 78% | 82% | 86% |
| Wk 5 | 2026-27 | 76% | 81% | 84% |
| Wk 6 | 2026-27 | 67% | 73% | 77% |
| Wk 7 | 2026-27 | 76% | 80% | 84% |
RECORDS
Southern Conn St
Assumption
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Overall |
3-2 (60%) |
|
2-0 (100%) |
Home |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Away |
1-1 (50%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus D2 Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-0 (100%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Southern Conn St
Assumption
| #557 American Int'l | Best Win | #537 Pace |
| #433 Wagner | Worst Loss | #453 Frostburg St |
| 43 pts vs #731 Post | Largest MOV | 23 pts vs #557 American Int'l |
| 24 pts vs #433 Wagner | Largest MOD | 21 pts vs #111 Kutztown |
OTHER STATISTICS
Southern Conn St
Assumption
| 32.4 | Points per Game | 30.8 |
| 19 | Points Against | 29.6 |
| 32.5 | Home PPG | 32.7 |
| 23.5 | Home PA | 36.7 |
| 32.3 | Away PPG | 28 |
| 16 | Away PA | 19 |
| 4-23 | Opponent Record | 16-12 |
| 626 | Avg Opponent Rank | 451.8 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | W 3 |
| W 4 | Current Streak | W 3 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Southern Conn St
Assumption
| Oct 10 | vs Monroe (1-4) | W35-28 | Oct 3 | vs Bentley (2-3) | W29-27 |
| Oct 3 | at St Anselm (0-5) | W40-10 | Sep 26 | at American Int'l (2-4) | W37-14 |
| Sep 26 | at Post (0-5) | W50-7 | Sep 19 | vs Pace (3-2) | W34-27 |
| Sep 19 | vs American Int'l (2-4) | W30-19 | Sep 12 | at Frostburg St (3-3) | L19-24 |
| Sep 5 | at Wagner (1-5) | L7-31 | Sep 3 | vs Kutztown (6-0) | L35-56 |