Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: South Dakota St 64%, South Dakota 36% at South Dakota St.
South Dakota St's win probability against South Dakota has swung between 52% and 66% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 52% now.
South Dakota St's win probability against South Dakota has swung between 58% and 71% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 58% now.
South Dakota St's win probability against South Dakota has swung between 64% and 76% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 64% now.