Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: South Dakota St 92%, Indiana St 8% at South Dakota St.
South Dakota St's win probability against Indiana St is trending down — from 90% to 87% over the last 6 weeks.
South Dakota St's win probability against Indiana St has held at 90% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
South Dakota St's win probability against Indiana St has held at 92% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.