Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 7 (Oct 11), 2026-27: Dubuque 56%, Simpson IA 44% at Simpson IA.
Dubuque's win probability against Simpson IA has swung between 31% and 63% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 56% now.
Dubuque's win probability against Simpson IA has swung between 36% and 68% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 62% now.
Dubuque's win probability against Simpson IA has swung between 42% and 74% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 68% now.