Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 8 (Oct 18), 2026-27: Coe 66%, Simpson IA 34% at Simpson IA.
Coe's win probability against Simpson IA is trending down — from 89% to 66% over the last 6 weeks.
Coe's win probability against Simpson IA is trending down — from 92% to 72% over the last 6 weeks.
Coe's win probability against Simpson IA is trending down — from 94% to 77% over the last 6 weeks.