Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: San Diego 56%, Valparaiso 44% at San Diego.
San Diego's win probability against Valparaiso is trending down — from 62% to 43% over the last 6 weeks.
San Diego's win probability against Valparaiso has swung between 29% and 68% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 49% now.
San Diego's win probability against Valparaiso has swung between 35% and 73% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 56% now.