Mercer at Samford Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Mercer by 14.46
TOTAL POINTS
47
UPDATED
Sunday, October 11, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Samford
Mercer 
|
65
D
|
Overall |
93
A-
|
|
78
C+
|
Power |
95
A
|
|
74
C
|
Offensive |
92
A-
|
|
82
B-
|
Defensive |
97
A+
|
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
79
C+
|
|
94
A
|
SoS (Future) |
82
B-
|
RANKINGS
Samford
Mercer
| 111 #497 overall |
Overall | 21 #143 overall |
| 70 #376 overall |
Power | 15 #179 overall |
| 82 #420 overall |
Offensive | 24 #204 overall |
| 56 #335 overall |
Defensive | 9 #159 overall |
| 54 #199 overall |
SoS (Current) | 67 #217 overall |
| 17 #149 overall |
SoS (Future) | 55 #202 overall |
Mercer#2180%
Samford#11120%Wk 7 (Oct 11), 2026-27: Mercer 80%, Samford 20% at Samford.
Mercer's win probability against Samford has swung between 59% and 84% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 80% now.
Mercer's win probability against Samford has swung between 65% and 88% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 84% now.
Mercer's win probability against Samford has swung between 70% and 90% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 87% now.
Mercer favored
Samford favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Samford | Neutral | At Mercer |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 92% | 94% | 95% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 83% | 87% | 90% |
| Wk 1 | 2026-27 | 76% | 81% | 85% |
| Wk 2 | 2026-27 | 84% | 88% | 90% |
| Wk 3 | 2026-27 | 79% | 83% | 86% |
| Wk 4 | 2026-27 | 69% | 74% | 79% |
| Wk 5 | 2026-27 | 59% | 65% | 70% |
| Wk 6 | 2026-27 | 79% | 83% | 87% |
| Wk 7 | 2026-27 | 80% | 84% | 87% |
RECORDS
Samford
Mercer
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-5 (16.7%) |
Overall |
5-2 (71.4%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Home |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
1-0 (100%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-0 (100%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
4-2 (66.7%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Samford
Mercer
| #672 VMI | Best Win | #139 Abilene Christian |
| #256 Chattanooga | Worst Loss | #317 Furman |
| 38 pts vs #672 VMI | Largest MOV | 59 pts vs #340 Presbyterian |
| 26 pts vs #123 Tennessee Tech | Largest MOD | 33 pts vs #71 Georgia Tech |
OTHER STATISTICS
Samford
Mercer
| 18.2 | Points per Game | 30.6 |
| 24.7 | Points Against | 16.6 |
| 31.5 | Home PPG | 28.8 |
| 14.5 | Home PA | 13 |
| 12 | Away PPG | 33 |
| 32.3 | Away PA | 21.3 |
| 19-19 | Opponent Record | 15-29 |
| 273.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 286.9 |
| L 3 | Longest Streak | W 3 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | W 3 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Samford
Mercer
| Oct 10 | at Chattanooga (4-3) | L3-19 | Oct 10 | vs Western Carolina (3-4) | W17-14 |
| Oct 3 | at Alabama-Birmingham (3-3) | L14-33 | Oct 3 | at VMI (0-6) | W54-3 |
| Sep 26 | vs VMI (0-6) | W45-7 | Sep 26 | at Abilene Christian (3-4) | W34-17 |
| Sep 12 | at Tennessee Tech (5-1) | L19-45 | Sep 19 | at Georgia Tech (2-3) | L11-44 |
| Sep 3 | vs Southern Illinois (3-4) | L18-22 | Sep 12 | vs Furman (2-5) | L13-20 |
| Aug 29 | North Alabama (4-2) | L10-22 | Sep 5 | vs Presbyterian (3-3) | W62-3 |