Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Upper Iowa 64%, SW Baptist 36% at SW Baptist.
Upper Iowa's win probability against SW Baptist has swung between 35% and 66% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 64% now.
Upper Iowa's win probability against SW Baptist has swung between 41% and 71% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 69% now.
Upper Iowa's win probability against SW Baptist has swung between 47% and 76% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 74% now.