Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Rochester 61%, Morrisville St 39% at Rochester.
Rochester's win probability against Morrisville St is trending down — from 62% to 48% over the last 6 weeks.
Rochester's win probability against Morrisville St has swung between 42% and 69% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 55% now.
Rochester's win probability against Morrisville St has swung between 48% and 74% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 61% now.