Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Robert Morris 70%, Mercyhurst 30% at Robert Morris.
Robert Morris' win probability against Mercyhurst has swung between 54% and 68% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 59% now.
Robert Morris' win probability against Mercyhurst has swung between 60% and 73% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 65% now.
Robert Morris' win probability against Mercyhurst has swung between 66% and 78% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 70% now.