Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: UC-Davis 62%, Portland St 38% at Portland St.
UC-Davis' win probability against Portland St has swung between 47% and 80% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 62% now.
UC-Davis' win probability against Portland St has swung between 53% and 84% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 68% now.
UC-Davis' win probability against Portland St has swung between 59% and 88% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 74% now.