Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: North Dakota 91%, Portland St 9% at Portland St.
North Dakota's win probability against Portland St has swung between 89% and 94% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 91% now.
North Dakota's win probability against Portland St has held at 93% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
North Dakota's win probability against Portland St has held at 95% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.