Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Oregon 74%, Boise St 26% at Oregon.
Oregon's win probability against Boise St is trending up — from 56% to 63% over the last 6 weeks.
Oregon's win probability against Boise St has swung between 63% and 76% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 68% now.
Oregon's win probability against Boise St is trending up — from 68% to 74% over the last 6 weeks.