Michigan St at Notre Dame Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Notre Dame by 27.85
TOTAL POINTS
51
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Michigan St
Notre Dame 
|
76
C
|
Overall |
96
A
|
|
85
B
|
Power |
99
A+
|
|
82
B-
|
Offensive |
99
A+
|
|
88
B+
|
Defensive |
99
A+
|
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
92
A-
|
|
96
A
|
SoS (Full Season) |
89
B+
|
|
76
C
|
SoR (Current) |
96
A
|
|
80
B-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
96
A
|
RANKINGS
Michigan St
Notre Dame
| 81 #98 overall |
Overall | 10 #10 overall |
| 50 #50 overall |
Power | 1 #1 overall |
| 62 #62 overall |
Offensive | 2 #2 overall |
| 39 #39 overall |
Defensive | 1 #1 overall |
| 4 #4 overall |
SoS (Current) | 24 #24 overall |
| 10 #10 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 37 #37 overall |
Notre Dame#1094%
Michigan St#816%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Notre Dame 94%, Michigan St 6% at Notre Dame.
Notre Dame's win probability against Michigan St has swung between 88% and 95% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 90% now.
Notre Dame's win probability against Michigan St has swung between 91% and 96% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 93% now.
Notre Dame's win probability against Michigan St has held at 94% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Notre Dame favored
Michigan St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Michigan St | Neutral | At Notre Dame |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 94% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 1 | 88% | 91% | 93% |
| Wk 2 | 92% | 94% | 95% |
| Wk 3 | 90% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 4 | 88% | 91% | 93% |
| Wk 5 | 90% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 6 | 92% | 94% | 95% |
| Wk 7 | 95% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 8 | 91% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 9 | 90% | 93% | 94% |
RECORDS
Michigan St
Notre Dame
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-6 (25%) |
Overall |
6-1 (85.7%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Home |
3-0 (100%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
1-1 (50%) |
|
1-6 (14.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-1 (75%) |
|
1-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-0 (100%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Michigan St
Notre Dame
| #61 Toledo | Best Win | #25 Wisconsin |
| #40 Illinois | Worst Loss | #11 Brigham Young |
| 28 pts vs #188 Eastern Michigan | Largest MOV | 52 pts vs #282 Rice |
| 28 pts vs #25 Wisconsin | Largest MOD | 4 pts vs #11 Brigham Young |
OTHER STATISTICS
Michigan St
Notre Dame
| 19.9 | Points per Game | 41.1 |
| 25.8 | Points Against | 13.4 |
| 27.2 | Home PPG | 45.7 |
| 24 | Home PA | 5.7 |
| 7.7 | Away PPG | 36.7 |
| 28.7 | Away PA | 21.3 |
| 43-16 | Opponent Record | 25-27 |
| 48 | Avg Opponent Rank | 83 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 6 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Michigan St
Notre Dame
| Oct 24 | at #2 UCLA (7-0) | L10-28 | Oct 17 | at #11 Brigham Young (6-1) | L24-28 |
| Oct 17 | vs #22 Northwestern (6-1) | L21-24 | Oct 10 | vs Stanford (4-4) | W58-7 |
| Oct 10 | vs Illinois (4-3) | L37-38 | Oct 3 | at North Carolina (4-3) | W37-26 |
| Oct 3 | at #25 Wisconsin (5-2) | L3-31 | Sep 26 | at Purdue (3-4) | W49-10 |
| Sep 26 | vs Nebraska (5-2) | L13-31 | Sep 19 | vs Michigan St (2-6) | W27-10 |
| Sep 19 | at #10 Notre Dame (6-1) | L10-27 | Sep 12 | vs Rice (1-7) | W52-0 |
| Sep 12 | vs Eastern Michigan (4-5) | W35-7 | Sep 6 | #25 Wisconsin (5-2) | W41-13 |
| Sep 4 | vs Toledo (6-2) | W30-20 |