Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: South Dakota St 78%, Northern Iowa 22% at Northern Iowa.
South Dakota St's win probability against Northern Iowa has swung between 77% and 90% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 78% now.
South Dakota St's win probability against Northern Iowa has swung between 82% and 92% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 82% now.
South Dakota St's win probability against Northern Iowa has swung between 86% and 94% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 86% now.