Air Force at Northern Illinois Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Air Force by 3.84
TOTAL POINTS
52
UPDATED
Sunday, October 4, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Northern Illinois
Air Force 
|
61
D-
|
Overall |
75
C
|
|
64
D
|
Power |
70
C-
|
|
64
D
|
Offensive |
70
C-
|
|
65
D
|
Defensive |
71
C-
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
61
D-
|
|
74
C
|
SoS (Future) |
63
D-
|
RANKINGS
Northern Illinois
Air Force
| 134 #356 overall |
Overall | 85 #113 overall |
| 123 #146 overall |
Power | 104 #111 overall |
| 123 #156 overall |
Offensive | 102 #118 overall |
| 122 #140 overall |
Defensive | 101 #106 overall |
| 22 #22 overall |
SoS (Current) | 134 #215 overall |
| 88 #88 overall |
SoS (Future) | 128 #138 overall |
Air Force#8559%
Northern Illinois#13441%Wk 6 (Oct 4), 2026-27: Air Force 59%, Northern Illinois 41% at Northern Illinois.
Air Force's win probability against Northern Illinois is trending down — from 66% to 59% over the last 6 updates.
Air Force's win probability against Northern Illinois is trending down — from 72% to 65% over the last 6 updates.
Air Force's win probability against Northern Illinois is trending down — from 77% to 70% over the last 6 updates.
Air Force favored
Northern Illinois favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Northern Illinois | Neutral | At Air Force |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 67% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 67% | 72% | 77% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 66% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 1 | 2026-27 | 62% | 68% | 73% |
| Wk 2 | 2026-27 | 71% | 76% | 80% |
| Wk 3 | 2026-27 | 67% | 73% | 77% |
| Wk 4 | 2026-27 | 61% | 67% | 73% |
| Wk 5 | 2026-27 | 65% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 6 | 2026-27 | 59% | 65% | 70% |
RECORDS
Northern Illinois
Air Force
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Overall |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Home |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
1-0 (100%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
0-1 (0%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-0 (100%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-1 (75%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Northern Illinois
Air Force
| None | Best Win | #334 Navy |
| #182 Illinois St | Worst Loss | #34 North Dakota St |
| None | Largest MOV | 34 pts vs #452 Duquesne |
| 40 pts vs #29 Iowa | Largest MOD | 6 pts vs #34 North Dakota St |
OTHER STATISTICS
Northern Illinois
Air Force
| 13.8 | Points per Game | 29 |
| 36.3 | Points Against | 20 |
| 24 | Home PPG | 26.7 |
| 28 | Home PA | 15.7 |
| 10.3 | Away PPG | 36 |
| 39 | Away PA | 33 |
| 16-5 | Opponent Record | 8-9 |
| 91.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 291.8 |
| L 4 | Longest Streak | W 2 |
| L 4 | Current Streak | W 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Northern Illinois
Air Force
| Sep 26 | at Georgia St (4-1) | L14-35 | Oct 3 | vs Navy (1-3) | W14-9 |
| Sep 19 | at Arizona (4-1) | L17-42 | Sep 26 | at Nevada (1-3) | W36-33 |
| Sep 12 | vs Illinois St (4-2) | L24-28 | Sep 12 | vs North Dakota St (5-0) | L32-38 |
| Sep 5 | at Iowa (4-1) | L0-40 | Sep 5 | vs Duquesne (1-3) | W34-0 |