South Dakota St at North Dakota Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
South Dakota St by 5.12
TOTAL POINTS
55
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
North Dakota
South Dakota St 
|
96
A
|
Overall |
97
A+
|
|
97
A+
|
Power |
99
A+
|
|
97
A+
|
Offensive |
98
A+
|
|
97
A+
|
Defensive |
99
A+
|
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
82
B-
|
|
95
A
|
SoS (Full Season) |
88
B+
|
|
96
A
|
SoR (Current) |
98
A+
|
|
97
A+
|
SoR (Full Season) |
98
A+
|
RANKINGS
North Dakota
South Dakota St
| 12 #125 overall |
Overall | 9 #105 overall |
| 6 #118 overall |
Power | 2 #89 overall |
| 6 #107 overall |
Offensive | 3 #92 overall |
| 9 #131 overall |
Defensive | 1 #85 overall |
| 23 #155 overall |
SoS (Current) | 57 #200 overall |
| 13 #137 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 37 #176 overall |
South Dakota St#962%
North Dakota#1238%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: South Dakota St 62%, North Dakota 38% at North Dakota.
South Dakota St's win probability against North Dakota has swung between 48% and 82% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 62% now.
South Dakota St's win probability against North Dakota has swung between 54% and 86% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 68% now.
South Dakota St's win probability against North Dakota has swung between 61% and 89% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 73% now.
South Dakota St favored
North Dakota favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At North Dakota | Neutral | At South Dakota St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 48% | 54% | 60% |
| Wk 1 | 48% | 55% | 61% |
| Wk 2 | 48% | 54% | 60% |
| Wk 3 | 48% | 54% | 61% |
| Wk 4 | 63% | 69% | 74% |
| Wk 5 | 67% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 6 | 80% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 7 | 82% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 8 | 65% | 70% | 76% |
| Wk 9 | 62% | 68% | 73% |
RECORDS
North Dakota
South Dakota St
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
6-3 (66.7%) |
Overall |
6-2 (75%) |
|
4-0 (100%) |
Home |
5-0 (100%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Away |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-2 (50%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
4-0 (100%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
North Dakota
South Dakota St
| #105 South Dakota St | Best Win | #72 Youngstown St |
| #189 Northern Iowa | Worst Loss | #125 North Dakota |
| 36 pts vs #199 St Thomas MN | Largest MOV | 63 pts vs #597 Stetson |
| 27 pts vs #36 Nebraska | Largest MOD | 16 pts vs #22 Northwestern |
OTHER STATISTICS
North Dakota
South Dakota St
| 35.1 | Points per Game | 37.1 |
| 25.2 | Points Against | 15.8 |
| 45 | Home PPG | 47.6 |
| 21.3 | Home PA | 11.4 |
| 27.2 | Away PPG | 19.7 |
| 28.4 | Away PA | 23 |
| 35-37 | Opponent Record | 30-34 |
| 220.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 275.5 |
| W 3 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
North Dakota
South Dakota St
| Oct 24 | at South Dakota (7-2) | L23-26 | Oct 24 | vs Murray St (1-7) | W42-9 |
| Oct 17 | vs South Dakota St (6-2) | W21-10 | Oct 17 | at North Dakota (6-3) | L10-21 |
| Oct 10 | at Northern Iowa (3-4) | L17-24 | Oct 3 | at Illinois St (6-2) | W31-14 |
| Oct 3 | vs Murray St (1-7) | W55-28 | Sep 26 | vs Eastern Illinois (2-6) | W42-7 |
| Sep 26 | at Indiana St (2-6) | W42-35 | Sep 19 | vs Youngstown St (6-2) | W27-20 |
| Sep 19 | at Nebraska (5-2) | L7-34 | Sep 12 | vs New Haven (2-6) | W57-14 |
| Sep 12 | at Portland St (2-6) | W47-23 | Sep 5 | at #22 Northwestern (6-1) | L18-34 |
| Sep 5 | vs St Thomas MN (6-2) | W62-26 | Aug 29 | vs Stetson (1-7) | W70-7 |
| Aug 27 | vs LIU (3-6) | W42-21 |