Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: North Carolina 71%, Syracuse 29% at North Carolina.
North Carolina's win probability against Syracuse has swung between 38% and 71% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 60% now.
North Carolina's win probability against Syracuse has swung between 44% and 76% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 66% now.
North Carolina's win probability against Syracuse has swung between 51% and 81% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 71% now.