Louisville at North Carolina Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Louisville by 1.31
TOTAL POINTS
59
UPDATED
Sunday, November 8, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
North Carolina
Louisville 
|
87
B+
|
Overall |
90
A-
|
|
89
B+
|
Power |
91
A-
|
|
88
B+
|
Offensive |
95
A
|
|
90
A-
|
Defensive |
87
B+
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
88
B+
|
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
91
A-
|
|
88
B+
|
SoR (Current) |
87
B+
|
|
89
B+
|
SoR (Full Season) |
90
A-
|
RANKINGS
North Carolina
Louisville
| 44 #45 overall |
Overall | 33 #33 overall |
| 37 #37 overall |
Power | 28 #28 overall |
| 40 #40 overall |
Offensive | 15 #15 overall |
| 34 #34 overall |
Defensive | 44 #44 overall |
| 23 #23 overall |
SoS (Current) | 40 #40 overall |
| 33 #33 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 30 #30 overall |
Louisville#3353%
North Carolina#4447%Wk 11 (Nov 8), 2026-27: Louisville 53%, North Carolina 47% at North Carolina.
Louisville's win probability against North Carolina has swung between 38% and 58% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 53% now.
Louisville's win probability against North Carolina has swung between 44% and 64% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 59% now.
Louisville's win probability against North Carolina has swung between 50% and 69% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 65% now.
Louisville favored
North Carolina favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At North Carolina | Neutral | At Louisville |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 75% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 1 | 66% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 2 | 72% | 77% | 81% |
| Wk 3 | 67% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 4 | 75% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 5 | 52% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 6 | 38% | 44% | 50% |
| Wk 7 | 42% | 48% | 54% |
| Wk 8 | 49% | 55% | 62% |
| Wk 9 | 58% | 64% | 69% |
| Wk 10 | 53% | 59% | 65% |
| Wk 11 | 53% | 59% | 65% |
RECORDS
North Carolina
Louisville
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
5-4 (55.6%) |
Overall |
6-3 (66.7%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Home |
4-1 (80%) |
|
3-1 (75%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
3-3 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-2 (50%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
4-1 (80%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Last 5 Games |
4-1 (80%) |
SUPERLATIVES
North Carolina
Louisville
| #37 Duke | Best Win | #43 SMU |
| #106 Syracuse | Worst Loss | #104 North Carolina St |
| 32 pts vs #212 East Tennessee St | Largest MOV | 46 pts vs #238 Villanova |
| 11 pts vs #7 Notre Dame | Largest MOD | 3 pts vs #104 North Carolina St |
OTHER STATISTICS
North Carolina
Louisville
| 27.1 | Points per Game | 40.8 |
| 22.8 | Points Against | 25.9 |
| 31.5 | Home PPG | 44.6 |
| 27.3 | Home PA | 23.6 |
| 25.8 | Away PPG | 35.3 |
| 21.5 | Away PA | 24.7 |
| 53-29 | Opponent Record | 45-37 |
| 79.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 93.9 |
| W 2 | Longest Streak | W 4 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 4 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
North Carolina
Louisville
| Nov 7 | at Connecticut (4-5) | W38-21 | Nov 7 | at Georgia Tech (2-7) | W44-17 |
| Oct 31 | vs #9 Miami FL (8-1) | L35-38 | Oct 31 | vs Stanford (4-5) | W52-24 |
| Oct 24 | vs Syracuse (4-5) | L30-31 | Oct 17 | at Syracuse (4-5) | W34-26 |
| Oct 17 | at Duke (7-2) | W24-20 | Oct 9 | vs Florida St (4-5) | W44-20 |
| Oct 10 | at Pittsburgh (6-3) | W21-17 | Oct 3 | at North Carolina St (4-5) | L28-31 |
| Oct 3 | vs #7 Notre Dame (8-1) | L26-37 | Sep 26 | vs #20 Wake Forest (8-1) | L27-30 |
| Sep 19 | at Clemson (6-3) | L20-28 | Sep 19 | vs SMU (7-2) | W41-31 |
| Sep 12 | vs East Tennessee St (6-4) | W35-3 | Sep 11 | vs Villanova (6-4) | W59-13 |
| Aug 29 | TCU (4-5) | W15-10 | Sep 6 | #11 Mississippi (6-3) | L38-41 |