East Tennessee St at North Carolina Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
North Carolina by 35.43
TOTAL POINTS
52
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
*Ratings are relative to Division (FBS, FCS, D2, D3, NAIA)
East Tennessee St
North Carolina 
|
95
A
|
Overall |
85
B
|
|
93
A-
|
Power |
86
B
|
|
94
A
|
Offensive |
84
B
|
|
92
A-
|
Defensive |
89
B+
|
|
75
C
|
SoS (Current) |
95
A
|
|
82
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
91
A-
|
|
94
A
|
SoR (Current) |
88
B+
|
|
93
A-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
89
B+
|
RANKINGS
East Tennessee StFCS
North CarolinaFBS
| 13 #128 overall |
Overall | 50 #52 overall |
| 21 #153 overall |
Power | 46 #46 overall |
| 17 #147 overall |
Offensive | 52 #52 overall |
| 24 #155 overall |
Defensive | 36 #36 overall |
| 79 #232 overall |
SoS (Current) | 16 #16 overall |
| 55 #197 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 28 #28 overall |
North CarolinaFBS #5097%
East Tennessee StFCS #133%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: North Carolina 97%, East Tennessee St 3% at North Carolina.
North Carolina's win probability against East Tennessee St has swung between 91% and 97% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 96% now.
North Carolina's win probability against East Tennessee St has held at 97% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
North Carolina's win probability against East Tennessee St has held at 97% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
North Carolina favored
East Tennessee St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At East Tennessee St | Neutral | At North Carolina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 89% | 92% | 94% |
| Wk 1 | 88% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 2 | 93% | 95% | 96% |
| Wk 3 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 4 | 94% | 95% | 97% |
| Wk 5 | 91% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 6 | 91% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 7 | 97% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 8 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 9 | 96% | 97% | 97% |
RECORDS
East Tennessee St
North Carolina
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
6-2 (75%) |
Overall |
4-3 (57.1%) |
|
4-1 (80%) |
Home |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Away |
2-1 (66.7%) |
|
1-1 (50%) |
Versus Own Division Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-2 (60%) |
|
4-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
1-1 (50%) |
|
5-0 (100%) |
Last 5 Games |
2-3 (40%) |
SUPERLATIVES
East Tennessee St
North Carolina
| #172 Chattanooga | Best Win | #51 Duke |
| #109 Campbell | Worst Loss | #127 Syracuse |
| 38 pts vs #623 VMI | Largest MOV | 32 pts vs #128 East Tennessee St |
| 32 pts vs #52 North Carolina | Largest MOD | 11 pts vs #10 Notre Dame |
OTHER STATISTICS
East Tennessee St
North Carolina
| 33.4 | Points per Game | 24.4 |
| 21.9 | Points Against | 20.9 |
| 38.4 | Home PPG | 30.3 |
| 24.8 | Home PA | 23.7 |
| 25 | Away PPG | 21.7 |
| 17 | Away PA | 21.7 |
| 26-37 | Opponent Record | 32-19 |
| 303.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 72.4 |
| W 5 | Longest Streak | W 2 |
| W 5 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
East Tennessee St
North Carolina
| Oct 24 | at VMI (0-8) | W38-0 | Oct 24 | vs Syracuse (3-4) | L30-31 |
| Oct 10 | at The Citadel (2-6) | W34-16 | Oct 17 | at Duke (5-2) | W24-20 |
| Oct 3 | vs Chattanooga (5-3) | W14-3 | Oct 10 | at Pittsburgh (5-3) | W21-17 |
| Sep 26 | vs Western Carolina (3-5) | W58-31 | Oct 3 | vs #10 Notre Dame (6-1) | L26-37 |
| Sep 19 | vs West Georgia (1-7) | W35-27 | Sep 19 | at Clemson (4-3) | L20-28 |
| Sep 12 | at North Carolina (4-3) | L3-35 | Sep 12 | vs East Tennessee St (6-2) | W35-3 |
| Sep 5 | vs Tusculum (4-4) | W48-14 | Aug 29 | TCU (3-4) | W15-10 |
| Aug 29 | vs Campbell (7-1) | L37-49 |