Arkansas Baptist at Nelson TX Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Nelson TX by 10.48
TOTAL POINTS
50
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
RATINGS
Arkansas Baptist
Nelson 
|
70
C-
|
Overall |
71
C-
|
|
67
D+
|
Power |
70
C-
|
|
66
D
|
Offensive |
68
D+
|
|
68
D+
|
Defensive |
71
C-
|
|
76
C
|
SoS (Current) |
97
A+
|
|
81
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
92
A-
|
|
67
D+
|
SoR (Current) |
67
D+
|
|
66
D
|
SoR (Full Season) |
68
D+
|
RANKINGS
Arkansas Baptist
Nelson
| 72 #678 overall |
Overall | 69 #647 overall |
| 79 #665 overall |
Power | 71 #621 overall |
| 81 #672 overall |
Offensive | 76 #633 overall |
| 77 #653 overall |
Defensive | 69 #617 overall |
| 57 #608 overall |
SoS (Current) | 7 #416 overall |
| 44 #547 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 17 #468 overall |
Nelson TX#6973%Arkansas Baptist#7227%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Nelson TX 73%, Arkansas Baptist 27% at Nelson TX.
Nelson TX's win probability against Arkansas Baptist is trending down — from 85% to 62% over the last 6 weeks.
Nelson TX's win probability against Arkansas Baptist is trending down — from 88% to 68% over the last 6 weeks.
Nelson TX's win probability against Arkansas Baptist is trending down — from 91% to 73% over the last 6 weeks.
Nelson TX favored
Arkansas Baptist favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Arkansas Baptist | Neutral | At Nelson TX |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 85% | 88% | 91% |
| Wk 1 | 80% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 2 | 78% | 82% | 86% |
| Wk 3 | 85% | 88% | 91% |
| Wk 4 | 79% | 83% | 87% |
| Wk 5 | 67% | 72% | 77% |
| Wk 6 | 63% | 69% | 74% |
| Wk 7 | 46% | 52% | 58% |
| Wk 8 | 59% | 64% | 70% |
| Wk 9 | 62% | 68% | 73% |
RECORDS
Arkansas Baptist
Nelson
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-7 (22.2%) |
Overall |
1-7 (12.5%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Home |
1-4 (20%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Away |
0-3 (0%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus NAIA Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
0-6 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
0-7 (0%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
1-0 (100%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
0-5 (0%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Arkansas Baptist
Nelson
| #674 Langston | Best Win | #678 Arkansas Baptist |
| #647 Nelson TX | Worst Loss | #557 MidAmerica Nazarene |
| 15 pts vs #674 Langston | Largest MOV | 7 pts vs #678 Arkansas Baptist |
| 88 pts vs #256 Houston Christian | Largest MOD | 52 pts vs #146 Hardin-Simmons |
OTHER STATISTICS
Arkansas Baptist
Nelson
| 15 | Points per Game | 17.6 |
| 39.2 | Points Against | 36.1 |
| 17.5 | Home PPG | 18.4 |
| 29.5 | Home PA | 34.6 |
| 13 | Away PPG | 16.3 |
| 47 | Away PA | 38.7 |
| 30-38 | Opponent Record | 40-21 |
| 524.4 | Avg Opponent Rank | 425 |
| L 4 | Longest Streak | L 5 |
| L 4 | Current Streak | L 5 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Arkansas Baptist
Nelson
| Oct 24 | at Wayland Baptist (5-3) | L0-30 | Oct 24 | vs Hardin-Simmons (6-0) | L0-52 |
| Oct 17 | vs OK Panhandle St (4-4) | L12-24 | Oct 17 | vs Louisiana Christian (8-1) | L23-31 |
| Oct 10 | at Alcorn St (4-4) | L7-63 | Oct 10 | vs OK Panhandle St (4-4) | L28-35 |
| Oct 3 | vs Texas Wesleyan (4-4) | L27-34 | Oct 3 | at Howard Payne (5-1) | L16-44 |
| Sep 26 | vs Langston (2-5) | W24-9 | Sep 26 | at Texas Wesleyan (4-4) | L16-41 |
| Sep 19 | at Nelson TX (1-7) | L28-35 | Sep 19 | vs Arkansas Baptist (2-7) | W35-28 |
| Sep 12 | at Houston Christian (4-4) | L0-88 | Sep 12 | at Ottawa AZ (5-1) | L17-31 |
| Sep 5 | at Texas College (0-5) | W30-19 | Aug 29 | vs MidAmerica Nazarene (6-3) | L6-27 |
| Aug 27 | vs Pikeville (6-2) | L7-51 |