Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 10 (Nov 1), 2026-27: Nebraska 97%, North Dakota 3% at Nebraska.
Nebraska's win probability against North Dakota has swung between 91% and 98% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 94% now.
Nebraska's win probability against North Dakota is trending up — from 93% to 96% over the last 6 weeks.
Nebraska's win probability against North Dakota has held at 97% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.