Valparaiso at Murray St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Murray St by 9.71
TOTAL POINTS
51
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Murray St
Valparaiso 
|
70
C-
|
Overall |
70
C-
|
|
73
C-
|
Power |
66
D
|
|
76
C
|
Offensive |
64
D
|
|
69
D+
|
Defensive |
68
D+
|
|
97
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
63
D-
|
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
64
D
|
|
69
D+
|
SoR (Current) |
66
D
|
|
70
C-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
68
D+
|
RANKINGS
Murray St
Valparaiso
| 97 #404 overall |
Overall | 95 #402 overall |
| 86 #244 overall |
Power | 110 #283 overall |
| 76 #233 overall |
Offensive | 116 #316 overall |
| 98 #256 overall |
Defensive | 101 #261 overall |
| 8 #116 overall |
SoS (Current) | 118 #368 overall |
| 3 #116 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 114 #336 overall |
Murray St#9772%
Valparaiso#9528%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Murray St 72%, Valparaiso 28% at Murray St.
Murray St's win probability against Valparaiso has swung between 27% and 68% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 60% now.
Murray St's win probability against Valparaiso has swung between 33% and 73% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 66% now.
Murray St's win probability against Valparaiso has swung between 38% and 78% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 72% now.
Murray St favored
Valparaiso favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Valparaiso | Neutral | At Murray St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 86% | 89% | 92% |
| Wk 1 | 75% | 79% | 83% |
| Wk 2 | 78% | 82% | 86% |
| Wk 3 | 68% | 73% | 78% |
| Wk 4 | 55% | 61% | 67% |
| Wk 5 | 40% | 46% | 52% |
| Wk 6 | 27% | 33% | 38% |
| Wk 7 | 44% | 50% | 57% |
| Wk 8 | 60% | 66% | 72% |
| Wk 9 | 60% | 66% | 72% |
RECORDS
Murray St
Valparaiso
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
1-7 (12.5%) |
Overall |
4-4 (50%) |
|
1-3 (25%) |
Home |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Away |
1-3 (25%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
1-5 (16.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-1 (50%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-3 (50%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Murray St
Valparaiso
| #402 Valparaiso | Best Win | #394 Presbyterian |
| #385 Eastern Illinois | Worst Loss | #404 Murray St |
| 9 pts vs #402 Valparaiso | Largest MOV | 46 pts vs #589 Lawrence Tech |
| 59 pts vs #33 Oklahoma St | Largest MOD | 25 pts vs #328 San Diego |
OTHER STATISTICS
Murray St
Valparaiso
| 14.8 | Points per Game | 27 |
| 41.8 | Points Against | 21.6 |
| 16.8 | Home PPG | 33 |
| 35 | Home PA | 16.5 |
| 12.8 | Away PPG | 21 |
| 48.5 | Away PA | 26.8 |
| 38-27 | Opponent Record | 23-41 |
| 180.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 401.5 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | L 3 |
| L 5 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Murray St
Valparaiso
| Oct 24 | at South Dakota St (6-2) | L9-42 | Oct 24 | vs Presbyterian (4-4) | W24-7 |
| Oct 17 | vs South Dakota (7-2) | L20-48 | Oct 17 | at San Diego (3-5) | L13-38 |
| Oct 3 | at North Dakota (6-3) | L28-55 | Oct 10 | vs Drake (2-6) | W21-13 |
| Sep 26 | vs Southern Illinois (4-5) | L6-46 | Oct 3 | at Morehead St (2-6) | W37-3 |
| Sep 19 | at Oklahoma St (5-2) | L0-59 | Sep 26 | vs Butler (6-2) | L28-33 |
| Sep 12 | vs Valparaiso (4-4) | W27-18 | Sep 19 | at Indiana St (2-6) | L16-39 |
| Sep 5 | at Middle Tennessee St (4-3) | L14-38 | Sep 12 | at Murray St (1-7) | L18-27 |
| Aug 27 | vs Eastern Illinois (2-6) | L14-28 | Aug 29 | vs Lawrence Tech (3-5) | W59-13 |