Valparaiso at Morehead St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Valparaiso by 19.88
TOTAL POINTS
58
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FCS predictions
RATINGS
Morehead St
Valparaiso 
|
61
D-
|
Overall |
70
C-
|
|
60
D-
|
Power |
66
D
|
|
61
D-
|
Offensive |
64
D
|
|
60
D-
|
Defensive |
68
D+
|
|
62
D-
|
SoS (Current) |
63
D-
|
|
62
D-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
64
D
|
|
62
D-
|
SoR (Current) |
66
D
|
|
61
D-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
68
D+
|
RANKINGS
Morehead St
Valparaiso
| 124 #572 overall |
Overall | 95 #402 overall |
| 127 #435 overall |
Power | 110 #283 overall |
| 125 #393 overall |
Offensive | 116 #316 overall |
| 128 #495 overall |
Defensive | 101 #261 overall |
| 122 #393 overall |
SoS (Current) | 118 #368 overall |
| 120 #363 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 114 #336 overall |
Valparaiso#9588%
Morehead St#12412%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Valparaiso 88%, Morehead St 12% at Morehead St.
Valparaiso's win probability against Morehead St is trending up — from 47% to 88% over the last 6 weeks.
Valparaiso's win probability against Morehead St is trending up — from 54% to 90% over the last 6 weeks.
Valparaiso's win probability against Morehead St is trending up — from 60% to 93% over the last 6 weeks.
Valparaiso favored
Morehead St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Morehead St | Neutral | At Valparaiso |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 33% | 39% | 45% |
| Wk 1 | 40% | 46% | 52% |
| Wk 2 | 33% | 39% | 45% |
| Wk 3 | 47% | 54% | 60% |
| Wk 4 | 67% | 73% | 78% |
| Wk 5 | 72% | 77% | 82% |
| Wk 6 | 88% | 91% | 93% |
| Wk 7 | 93% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 8 | 88% | 91% | 93% |
| Wk 9 | 88% | 90% | 93% |
RECORDS
Morehead St
Valparaiso
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
2-6 (25%) |
Overall |
4-4 (50%) |
|
2-2 (50%) |
Home |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Away |
1-3 (25%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus FCS Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-1 (50%) |
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
3-3 (50%) |
|
1-4 (20%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Morehead St
Valparaiso
| #597 Stetson | Best Win | #394 Presbyterian |
| #521 Davidson | Worst Loss | #404 Murray St |
| 51 pts vs #715 Kentucky Christian | Largest MOV | 46 pts vs #589 Lawrence Tech |
| 57 pts vs #257 Western Illinois | Largest MOD | 25 pts vs #328 San Diego |
OTHER STATISTICS
Morehead St
Valparaiso
| 28 | Points per Game | 27 |
| 43.3 | Points Against | 21.6 |
| 39 | Home PPG | 33 |
| 33.5 | Home PA | 16.5 |
| 17 | Away PPG | 21 |
| 53 | Away PA | 26.8 |
| 31-33 | Opponent Record | 23-41 |
| 413.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 401.5 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | L 3 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Morehead St
Valparaiso
| Oct 24 | vs Stetson (1-7) | W38-31 | Oct 24 | vs Presbyterian (4-4) | W24-7 |
| Oct 17 | at Davidson (3-5) | L31-34 | Oct 17 | at San Diego (3-5) | L13-38 |
| Oct 10 | at Dayton (6-1) | L28-56 | Oct 10 | vs Drake (2-6) | W21-13 |
| Oct 3 | vs Valparaiso (4-4) | L3-37 | Oct 3 | at Morehead St (2-6) | W37-3 |
| Sep 19 | at Western Illinois (4-4) | L2-59 | Sep 26 | vs Butler (6-2) | L28-33 |
| Sep 12 | at Austin Peay (7-2) | L7-63 | Sep 19 | at Indiana St (2-6) | L16-39 |
| Sep 3 | vs Kentucky Christian (2-6) | W75-24 | Sep 12 | at Murray St (1-7) | L18-27 |
| Aug 27 | vs Ohio Dominican (4-4) | L40-42 | Aug 29 | vs Lawrence Tech (3-5) | W59-13 |