Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Michigan 84%, Western Michigan 16% at Michigan.
Michigan's win probability against Western Michigan has swung between 70% and 75% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 75% now.
Michigan's win probability against Western Michigan has held at 80% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Michigan's win probability against Western Michigan has held at 84% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.