Michigan St at Michigan Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Michigan by 5.56
TOTAL POINTS
43
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Michigan St
Michigan 
|
76
C
|
Overall |
89
B+
|
|
85
B
|
Power |
87
B+
|
|
82
B-
|
Offensive |
81
B-
|
|
88
B+
|
Defensive |
92
A-
|
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
93
A-
|
|
96
A
|
SoS (Full Season) |
94
A
|
|
76
C
|
SoR (Current) |
86
B
|
|
80
B-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
87
B+
|
RANKINGS
Michigan St
Michigan
| 81 #98 overall |
Overall | 37 #37 overall |
| 50 #50 overall |
Power | 44 #44 overall |
| 62 #62 overall |
Offensive | 64 #64 overall |
| 39 #39 overall |
Defensive | 26 #26 overall |
| 4 #4 overall |
SoS (Current) | 21 #21 overall |
| 10 #10 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 20 #20 overall |
Michigan#3763%
Michigan St#8137%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Michigan 63%, Michigan St 37% at Michigan.
Michigan's win probability against Michigan St is trending down — from 64% to 51% over the last 6 weeks.
Michigan's win probability against Michigan St is trending down — from 70% to 57% over the last 6 weeks.
Michigan's win probability against Michigan St is trending down — from 75% to 63% over the last 6 weeks.
Michigan favored
Michigan St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Michigan St | Neutral | At Michigan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 78% | 82% | 86% |
| Wk 1 | 72% | 77% | 81% |
| Wk 2 | 67% | 73% | 78% |
| Wk 3 | 64% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 4 | 56% | 62% | 68% |
| Wk 5 | 51% | 58% | 64% |
| Wk 6 | 47% | 54% | 60% |
| Wk 7 | 52% | 59% | 65% |
| Wk 8 | 49% | 56% | 62% |
| Wk 9 | 51% | 57% | 63% |
RECORDS
Michigan St
Michigan
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
2-6 (25%) |
Overall |
4-3 (57.1%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Home |
4-2 (66.7%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
0-1 (0%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
1-1 (50%) |
|
1-6 (14.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-3 (40%) |
|
1-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
2-0 (100%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Last 5 Games |
2-3 (40%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Michigan St
Michigan
| #61 Toledo | Best Win | #19 Oklahoma |
| #40 Illinois | Worst Loss | #34 Minnesota |
| 28 pts vs #188 Eastern Michigan | Largest MOV | 35 pts vs #299 UTEP |
| 28 pts vs #25 Wisconsin | Largest MOD | 7 pts vs #7 Indiana |
OTHER STATISTICS
Michigan St
Michigan
| 19.9 | Points per Game | 20.3 |
| 25.8 | Points Against | 15.7 |
| 27.2 | Home PPG | 21.3 |
| 24 | Home PA | 15 |
| 7.7 | Away PPG | 14 |
| 28.7 | Away PA | 20 |
| 43-16 | Opponent Record | 30-21 |
| 48 | Avg Opponent Rank | 78.1 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | W 3 |
| L 6 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Michigan St
Michigan
| Oct 24 | at #2 UCLA (7-0) | L10-28 | Oct 24 | vs #7 Indiana (7-1) | L6-13 |
| Oct 17 | vs #22 Northwestern (6-1) | L21-24 | Oct 17 | vs Penn State (3-4) | W21-18 |
| Oct 10 | vs Illinois (4-3) | L37-38 | Oct 3 | at Minnesota (5-2) | L14-20 |
| Oct 3 | at #25 Wisconsin (5-2) | L3-31 | Sep 26 | vs Iowa (5-2) | L19-20 |
| Sep 26 | vs Nebraska (5-2) | L13-31 | Sep 19 | vs UTEP (1-6) | W52-17 |
| Sep 19 | at #10 Notre Dame (6-1) | L10-27 | Sep 12 | vs #19 Oklahoma (4-3) | W17-10 |
| Sep 12 | vs Eastern Michigan (4-5) | W35-7 | Sep 5 | vs Western Michigan (5-3) | W13-12 |
| Sep 4 | vs Toledo (6-2) | W30-20 |