Oregon at Michigan St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Oregon by 10.2
TOTAL POINTS
48
UPDATED
Sunday, October 25, 2026
See this week's FBS predictions
RATINGS
Michigan St
Oregon 
|
76
C
|
Overall |
90
A-
|
|
85
B
|
Power |
95
A
|
|
82
B-
|
Offensive |
93
A-
|
|
88
B+
|
Defensive |
95
A
|
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
97
A+
|
|
96
A
|
SoS (Full Season) |
97
A+
|
|
76
C
|
SoR (Current) |
90
A-
|
|
80
B-
|
SoR (Full Season) |
91
A-
|
RANKINGS
Michigan St
Oregon
| 81 #98 overall |
Overall | 31 #31 overall |
| 50 #50 overall |
Power | 15 #15 overall |
| 62 #62 overall |
Offensive | 21 #21 overall |
| 39 #39 overall |
Defensive | 15 #15 overall |
| 4 #4 overall |
SoS (Current) | 8 #8 overall |
| 10 #10 overall |
SoS (Full Season) | 9 #9 overall |
Oregon#3172%
Michigan St#8128%Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Oregon 72%, Michigan St 28% at Michigan St.
Oregon's win probability against Michigan St has swung between 65% and 82% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 72% now.
Oregon's win probability against Michigan St has swung between 70% and 86% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 77% now.
Oregon's win probability against Michigan St is trending up — from 75% to 82% over the last 6 weeks.
Oregon favored
Michigan St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Michigan St | Neutral | At Oregon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 92% | 94% | 95% |
| Wk 1 | 85% | 89% | 91% |
| Wk 2 | 87% | 90% | 92% |
| Wk 3 | 65% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 4 | 73% | 78% | 82% |
| Wk 5 | 75% | 80% | 84% |
| Wk 6 | 80% | 84% | 87% |
| Wk 7 | 82% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 8 | 82% | 86% | 89% |
| Wk 9 | 72% | 77% | 82% |
RECORDS
Michigan St
Oregon
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
2-6 (25%) |
Overall |
4-3 (57.1%) |
|
2-3 (40%) |
Home |
3-1 (75%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Away |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Versus FBS Top 25 |
1-1 (50%) |
|
1-6 (14.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-3 (50%) |
|
1-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
1-0 (100%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Last 5 Games |
3-2 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Michigan St
Oregon
| #61 Toledo | Best Win | #24 Boise St |
| #40 Illinois | Worst Loss | #40 Illinois |
| 28 pts vs #188 Eastern Michigan | Largest MOV | 84 pts vs #270 Portland St |
| 28 pts vs #25 Wisconsin | Largest MOD | 11 pts vs #40 Illinois |
OTHER STATISTICS
Michigan St
Oregon
| 19.9 | Points per Game | 33.1 |
| 25.8 | Points Against | 20.7 |
| 27.2 | Home PPG | 37.5 |
| 24 | Home PA | 14.5 |
| 7.7 | Away PPG | 27.3 |
| 28.7 | Away PA | 29 |
| 43-16 | Opponent Record | 35-16 |
| 48 | Avg Opponent Rank | 62.9 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | W 2 |
| L 6 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Michigan St
Oregon
| Oct 24 | at #2 UCLA (7-0) | L10-28 | Oct 24 | at Illinois (4-3) | L10-21 |
| Oct 17 | vs #22 Northwestern (6-1) | L21-24 | Oct 17 | vs Nebraska (5-2) | W17-14 |
| Oct 10 | vs Illinois (4-3) | L37-38 | Oct 10 | vs #2 UCLA (7-0) | L15-17 |
| Oct 3 | at #25 Wisconsin (5-2) | L3-31 | Sep 26 | at Southern Cal (6-2) | W41-27 |
| Sep 26 | vs Nebraska (5-2) | L13-31 | Sep 18 | vs Portland St (2-6) | W84-0 |
| Sep 19 | at #10 Notre Dame (6-1) | L10-27 | Sep 12 | at Oklahoma St (5-2) | L31-39 |
| Sep 12 | vs Eastern Michigan (4-5) | W35-7 | Sep 5 | vs #24 Boise St (6-1) | W34-27 |
| Sep 4 | vs Toledo (6-2) | W30-20 |