Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Mercer 76%, Furman 24% at Mercer.
Mercer's win probability against Furman has swung between 44% and 68% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 65% now.
Mercer's win probability against Furman has swung between 50% and 73% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 71% now.
Mercer's win probability against Furman has swung between 56% and 78% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 76% now.