Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Loras 87%, St Olaf 13% at Loras.
Loras' win probability against St Olaf has swung between 71% and 88% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 79% now.
Loras' win probability against St Olaf has swung between 76% and 91% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 83% now.
Loras' win probability against St Olaf is trending up — from 80% to 87% over the last 6 weeks.