Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 9 (Oct 25), 2026-27: Simpson IA 73%, Loras 27% at Loras.
Simpson IA's win probability against Loras has swung between 43% and 73% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 73% now.
Simpson IA's win probability against Loras has swung between 49% and 78% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 78% now.
Simpson IA's win probability against Loras has swung between 55% and 82% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 82% now.